BANK RAKYAT (Germany) Market Value

BYRA Stock  EUR 0.24  0.01  4.35%   
BANK RAKYAT's market value is the price at which a share of BANK RAKYAT trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BANK RAKYAT IND investors about its performance. BANK RAKYAT is trading at 0.24 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 4.35% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BANK RAKYAT IND and determine expected loss or profit from investing in BANK RAKYAT over a given investment horizon. Check out BANK RAKYAT Correlation, BANK RAKYAT Volatility and BANK RAKYAT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BANK RAKYAT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between BANK RAKYAT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BANK RAKYAT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BANK RAKYAT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BANK RAKYAT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BANK RAKYAT's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BANK RAKYAT.
0.00
12/17/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in BANK RAKYAT on December 17, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BANK RAKYAT IND or generate 0.0% return on investment in BANK RAKYAT over 360 days. BANK RAKYAT is related to or competes with DICKER DATA, DATANG INTL, Evolution Mining, Scandinavian Tobacco, MINCO SILVER, Data#3, and British American. More

BANK RAKYAT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BANK RAKYAT's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BANK RAKYAT IND upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

BANK RAKYAT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BANK RAKYAT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BANK RAKYAT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BANK RAKYAT historical prices to predict the future BANK RAKYAT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.242.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.212.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.242.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.230.240.25
Details

BANK RAKYAT IND Backtested Returns

BANK RAKYAT IND secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BANK RAKYAT IND exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BANK RAKYAT's Variance of 5.12, mean deviation of 1.39, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,089) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, BANK RAKYAT's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BANK RAKYAT is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, BANK RAKYAT IND has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to confirm BANK RAKYAT's information ratio, total risk alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if BANK RAKYAT IND performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

BANK RAKYAT IND has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BANK RAKYAT time series from 17th of December 2023 to 14th of June 2024 and 14th of June 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BANK RAKYAT IND price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current BANK RAKYAT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

BANK RAKYAT IND lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is BANK RAKYAT stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BANK RAKYAT's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BANK RAKYAT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BANK RAKYAT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

BANK RAKYAT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BANK RAKYAT stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BANK RAKYAT stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BANK RAKYAT stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

BANK RAKYAT Lagged Returns

When evaluating BANK RAKYAT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BANK RAKYAT stock have on its future price. BANK RAKYAT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BANK RAKYAT autocorrelation shows the relationship between BANK RAKYAT stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BANK RAKYAT IND.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in BANK Stock

BANK RAKYAT financial ratios help investors to determine whether BANK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BANK with respect to the benefits of owning BANK RAKYAT security.