Bresco Fundo (Brazil) Market Value

BRCO11 Fund  BRL 105.94  2.15  2.07%   
Bresco Fundo's market value is the price at which a share of Bresco Fundo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bresco Fundo investors about its performance. Bresco Fundo is trading at 105.94 as of the 17th of March 2025, a 2.07% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 103.79.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bresco Fundo and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bresco Fundo over a given investment horizon. Check out Bresco Fundo Correlation, Bresco Fundo Volatility and Bresco Fundo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bresco Fundo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bresco Fundo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bresco Fundo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bresco Fundo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bresco Fundo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bresco Fundo's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bresco Fundo.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bresco Fundo on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bresco Fundo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bresco Fundo over 90 days. Bresco Fundo is related to or competes with Ourinvest Jpp. More

Bresco Fundo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bresco Fundo's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bresco Fundo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bresco Fundo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bresco Fundo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bresco Fundo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bresco Fundo historical prices to predict the future Bresco Fundo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.83105.94107.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.07104.18116.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.11104.23105.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.03103.79106.56
Details

Bresco Fundo Backtested Returns

At this point, Bresco Fundo is very steady. Bresco Fundo secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the fund had a 0.17 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Bresco Fundo, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Bresco Fundo's risk adjusted performance of 0.1295, and Mean Deviation of 0.8044 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bresco Fundo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bresco Fundo is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.73  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Bresco Fundo has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bresco Fundo time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bresco Fundo price movement. The serial correlation of -0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Bresco Fundo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.73
Spearman Rank Test-0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance15.43

Bresco Fundo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bresco Fundo fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bresco Fundo's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bresco Fundo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bresco Fundo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bresco Fundo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bresco Fundo fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bresco Fundo fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bresco Fundo fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bresco Fundo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bresco Fundo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bresco Fundo fund have on its future price. Bresco Fundo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bresco Fundo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bresco Fundo fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bresco Fundo.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Bresco Fund

Bresco Fundo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bresco Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bresco with respect to the benefits of owning Bresco Fundo security.
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