BP Plc (UK) Market Value
| BP-B Stock | 156.00 0.50 0.32% |
| Symbol | BP-B |
BP Plc 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BP Plc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BP Plc.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in BP Plc on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BP plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in BP Plc over 90 days. BP Plc is related to or competes with Golden Metal, AMG Advanced, Jacquet Metal, Beowulf Mining, Take Two, Symphony Environmental, and Vitec Software. BP Plc is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More
BP Plc Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BP Plc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BP plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1403 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.61 |
BP Plc Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BP Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BP Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BP Plc historical prices to predict the future BP Plc's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0137 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1038 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0695 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
BP plc Backtested Returns
BP plc retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. BP Plc exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BP Plc's Standard Deviation of 0.8014, market risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of 5982.54 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0597, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning BP Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, BP Plc is likely to outperform the market. At this point, BP plc has a negative expected return of -0.0068%. Please make sure to confirm BP Plc's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if BP plc performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Auto-correlation | -0.72 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
BP plc has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BP Plc time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BP plc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current BP Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.72 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 9.06 |
BP plc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is BP Plc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BP Plc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BP Plc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BP Plc has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
BP Plc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BP Plc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BP Plc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BP Plc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
BP Plc Lagged Returns
When evaluating BP Plc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BP Plc stock have on its future price. BP Plc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BP Plc autocorrelation shows the relationship between BP Plc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BP plc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for BP-B Stock Analysis
When running BP Plc's price analysis, check to measure BP Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BP Plc is operating at the current time. Most of BP Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BP Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BP Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BP Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.