Assystem (France) Market Value

ASY Stock  EUR 38.00  0.50  1.33%   
Assystem's market value is the price at which a share of Assystem trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Assystem SA investors about its performance. Assystem is trading at 38.00 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 1.33% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 37.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Assystem SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Assystem over a given investment horizon. Check out Assystem Correlation, Assystem Volatility and Assystem Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Assystem.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Assystem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assystem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assystem's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Assystem 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Assystem's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Assystem.
0.00
12/07/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Assystem on December 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Assystem SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Assystem over 360 days. Assystem is related to or competes with Alten SA, Bnteau SA, Derichebourg, Neurones, and Aubay Socit. Assystem S.A. operates as an infrastructure engineering and consultancy company worldwide More

Assystem Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Assystem's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Assystem SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Assystem Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Assystem's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Assystem's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Assystem historical prices to predict the future Assystem's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.1938.0040.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.0728.8841.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.1836.9839.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.7236.2338.73
Details

Assystem SA Backtested Returns

Assystem SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the company had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Assystem SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Assystem's Standard Deviation of 2.81, risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Mean Deviation of 1.88 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.05, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Assystem returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Assystem is expected to follow. At this point, Assystem SA has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to confirm Assystem's kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Assystem SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.89  

Excellent reverse predictability

Assystem SA has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Assystem time series from 7th of December 2023 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Assystem SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Assystem price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.89
Spearman Rank Test-0.84
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance33.42

Assystem SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Assystem stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Assystem's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Assystem returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Assystem has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Assystem regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Assystem stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Assystem stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Assystem stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Assystem Lagged Returns

When evaluating Assystem's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Assystem stock have on its future price. Assystem autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Assystem autocorrelation shows the relationship between Assystem stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Assystem SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Assystem Stock

Assystem financial ratios help investors to determine whether Assystem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Assystem with respect to the benefits of owning Assystem security.