Small Pany Fund Market Value

ASCQX Fund  USD 17.55  0.09  0.52%   
Small Pany's market value is the price at which a share of Small Pany trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Small Pany Fund investors about its performance. Small Pany is trading at 17.55 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.52 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.46.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Small Pany Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Small Pany over a given investment horizon. Check out Small Pany Correlation, Small Pany Volatility and Small Pany Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Small Pany.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Small Pany's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Small Pany is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Small Pany's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Small Pany 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Small Pany's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Small Pany.
0.00
12/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Small Pany on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Small Pany Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Small Pany over 720 days. Small Pany is related to or competes with Stone Ridge, Fidelity Advisor, Delaware Limited, and Prudential Core. Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in stocks of smaller-capitali... More

Small Pany Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Small Pany's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Small Pany Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Small Pany Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Small Pany's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Small Pany's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Small Pany historical prices to predict the future Small Pany's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3717.5518.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.2617.4418.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.1017.2818.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.1317.1618.20
Details

Small Pany Fund Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Small Mutual Fund to be very steady. Small Pany Fund owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Small Pany Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Small Pany's Semi Deviation of 0.6458, coefficient of variation of 647.99, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1154 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The entity has a beta of 1.46, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Small Pany will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.36  

Below average predictability

Small Pany Fund has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Small Pany time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Small Pany Fund price movement. The serial correlation of 0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Small Pany price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.36
Spearman Rank Test0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.49

Small Pany Fund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Small Pany mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Small Pany's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Small Pany returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Small Pany has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Small Pany regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Small Pany mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Small Pany mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Small Pany mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Small Pany Lagged Returns

When evaluating Small Pany's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Small Pany mutual fund have on its future price. Small Pany autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Small Pany autocorrelation shows the relationship between Small Pany mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Small Pany Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Small Mutual Fund

Small Pany financial ratios help investors to determine whether Small Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Small with respect to the benefits of owning Small Pany security.
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