Argo Group 65 Stock Market Value

ARGD Stock  USD 22.00  0.02  0.09%   
Argo Group's market value is the price at which a share of Argo Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Argo Group 65 investors about its performance. Argo Group is trading at 22.00 as of the 27th of February 2025, a 0.09% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 21.84.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Argo Group 65 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Argo Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Argo Group Correlation, Argo Group Volatility and Argo Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Argo Group.
Symbol

Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Argo Group. If investors know Argo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Argo Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Argo Group 65 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Argo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Argo Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Argo Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Argo Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Argo Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Argo Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argo Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argo Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Argo Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Argo Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Argo Group.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Argo Group on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Argo Group 65 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Argo Group over 30 days. Argo Group is related to or competes with Brighthouse Financial, American Financial, CMS Energy, Aegon Funding, and Reinsurance Group. More

Argo Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Argo Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Argo Group 65 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Argo Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Argo Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Argo Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Argo Group historical prices to predict the future Argo Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.1822.0222.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1021.9422.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.7322.5723.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2621.6322.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Argo Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Argo Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Argo Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Argo Group 65.

Argo Group 65 Backtested Returns

Argo Group 65 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Argo Group 65 exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Argo Group's risk adjusted performance of (0), and Mean Deviation of 0.58 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Argo Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Argo Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Argo Group 65 has a negative expected return of -0.0028%. Please make sure to confirm Argo Group's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if Argo Group 65 performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.71  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Argo Group 65 has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Argo Group time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Argo Group 65 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Argo Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.71
Spearman Rank Test-0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Argo Group 65 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Argo Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Argo Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Argo Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Argo Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Argo Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Argo Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Argo Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Argo Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Argo Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Argo Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Argo Group stock have on its future price. Argo Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Argo Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Argo Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Argo Group 65.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Argo Group 65 is a strong investment it is important to analyze Argo Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Argo Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Argo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Argo Group Correlation, Argo Group Volatility and Argo Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Argo Group.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Argo Group technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Argo Group technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Argo Group trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...