APL Apollo (India) Market Value

APLAPOLLO   1,468  15.00  1.01%   
APL Apollo's market value is the price at which a share of APL Apollo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of APL Apollo Tubes investors about its performance. APL Apollo is selling for 1468.00 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 1.01 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1457.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of APL Apollo Tubes and determine expected loss or profit from investing in APL Apollo over a given investment horizon. Check out APL Apollo Correlation, APL Apollo Volatility and APL Apollo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on APL Apollo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between APL Apollo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if APL Apollo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, APL Apollo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

APL Apollo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to APL Apollo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of APL Apollo.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in APL Apollo on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding APL Apollo Tubes or generate 0.0% return on investment in APL Apollo over 30 days. APL Apollo is related to or competes with Tamilnadu Telecommunicatio, Chambal Fertilizers, Vishnu Chemicals, Mangalore Chemicals, DMCC SPECIALITY, Tata Chemicals, and Biofil Chemicals. APL Apollo is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

APL Apollo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure APL Apollo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess APL Apollo Tubes upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

APL Apollo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for APL Apollo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as APL Apollo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use APL Apollo historical prices to predict the future APL Apollo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4661,4681,470
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4221,4241,615
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,4271,4291,430
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.907.818.71
Details

APL Apollo Tubes Backtested Returns

As of now, APL Stock is very steady. APL Apollo Tubes secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0339, which signifies that the company had a 0.0339% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for APL Apollo Tubes, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm APL Apollo's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0268, mean deviation of 1.33, and Semi Deviation of 1.39 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.055%. APL Apollo has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, APL Apollo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding APL Apollo is expected to be smaller as well. APL Apollo Tubes now shows a risk of 1.62%. Please confirm APL Apollo Tubes total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if APL Apollo Tubes will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.37  

Poor reverse predictability

APL Apollo Tubes has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between APL Apollo time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of APL Apollo Tubes price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current APL Apollo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.37
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance347.39

APL Apollo Tubes lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is APL Apollo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting APL Apollo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of APL Apollo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that APL Apollo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

APL Apollo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If APL Apollo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if APL Apollo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in APL Apollo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

APL Apollo Lagged Returns

When evaluating APL Apollo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of APL Apollo stock have on its future price. APL Apollo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, APL Apollo autocorrelation shows the relationship between APL Apollo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in APL Apollo Tubes.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in APL Stock

APL Apollo financial ratios help investors to determine whether APL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APL with respect to the benefits of owning APL Apollo security.