Allianzgi Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

AOTAX Fund  USD 27.83  0.40  1.42%   
Allianzgi Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Allianzgi Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Allianzgi Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Allianzgi Emerging is trading at 27.83 as of the 14th of January 2025; that is 1.42% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.23.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Allianzgi Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Allianzgi Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Allianzgi Emerging Correlation, Allianzgi Emerging Volatility and Allianzgi Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Allianzgi Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Allianzgi Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allianzgi Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allianzgi Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Allianzgi Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allianzgi Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allianzgi Emerging.
0.00
12/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/14/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Allianzgi Emerging on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Allianzgi Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allianzgi Emerging over 30 days. Allianzgi Emerging is related to or competes with Allianzgi Nfj, Allianzgi Convertible, Allianzgi Nfj, Allianzgi Focused, Allianzgi Nfj, Allianzgi Vertible, and Allianzgi Vertible. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by normally investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of companies that are tied economically to countries with emerging securities markets-that is, countries with securities markets that are, in the opinion of the portfolio managers, less sophisticated than more developed markets in terms of participation by investors, analyst coverage, liquidity andor regulation. More

Allianzgi Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allianzgi Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Allianzgi Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Allianzgi Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allianzgi Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allianzgi Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allianzgi Emerging historical prices to predict the future Allianzgi Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.1527.8328.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.3928.0728.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.2127.9028.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8028.5329.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Allianzgi Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Allianzgi Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Allianzgi Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Allianzgi Emerging.

Allianzgi Emerging Backtested Returns

Allianzgi Emerging secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the fund had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Allianzgi Emerging Markets exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Allianzgi Emerging's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14), mean deviation of 0.5734, and Standard Deviation of 0.74 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Allianzgi Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allianzgi Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

Allianzgi Emerging Markets has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allianzgi Emerging time series from 15th of December 2024 to 30th of December 2024 and 30th of December 2024 to 14th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allianzgi Emerging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Allianzgi Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Allianzgi Emerging lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Allianzgi Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Allianzgi Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Allianzgi Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Allianzgi Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Allianzgi Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Allianzgi Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Allianzgi Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Allianzgi Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Allianzgi Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Allianzgi Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Allianzgi Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Allianzgi Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Allianzgi Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Allianzgi Mutual Fund

Allianzgi Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allianzgi Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allianzgi with respect to the benefits of owning Allianzgi Emerging security.
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