Ams Ag Stock Market Value

AMSSY Stock  USD 3.58  0.13  3.50%   
Ams AG's market value is the price at which a share of Ams AG trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ams AG investors about its performance. Ams AG is trading at 3.58 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 3.5 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.71.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ams AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ams AG over a given investment horizon. Check out Ams AG Correlation, Ams AG Volatility and Ams AG Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ams AG.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ams AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ams AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ams AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ams AG 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ams AG's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ams AG.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ams AG on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ams AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ams AG over 30 days. Ams AG is related to or competes with Alphawave, Arteris, Rohm Co, Intchains Group, Guerrilla, and NVE. ams-OSRAM AG designs, manufactures, and sells LED and optical sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the A... More

Ams AG Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ams AG's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ams AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ams AG Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ams AG's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ams AG's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ams AG historical prices to predict the future Ams AG's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ams AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.5813.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.4413.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.5412.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.503.633.76
Details

ams AG Backtested Returns

ams AG secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.024, which signifies that the company had a -0.024% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ams AG exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ams AG's Standard Deviation of 9.65, coefficient of variation of (3,871), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.66, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ams AG's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ams AG is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, ams AG has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm Ams AG's jensen alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to decide if ams AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

ams AG has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ams AG time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ams AG price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Ams AG price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.28

ams AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ams AG pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ams AG's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ams AG returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ams AG has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ams AG regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ams AG pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ams AG pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ams AG pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ams AG Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ams AG's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ams AG pink sheet have on its future price. Ams AG autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ams AG autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ams AG pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ams AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Ams Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Ams AG's price analysis, check to measure Ams AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ams AG is operating at the current time. Most of Ams AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ams AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ams AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ams AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.