Advanced Micro (Germany) Market Value

AMD Stock  EUR 130.50  1.80  1.40%   
Advanced Micro's market value is the price at which a share of Advanced Micro trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Advanced Micro Devices investors about its performance. Advanced Micro is trading at 130.50 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 1.40 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 128.86.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Advanced Micro Devices and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Advanced Micro over a given investment horizon. Check out Advanced Micro Correlation, Advanced Micro Volatility and Advanced Micro Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Advanced Micro.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Advanced Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advanced Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advanced Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Advanced Micro 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Advanced Micro's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Advanced Micro.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Advanced Micro on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Advanced Micro Devices or generate 0.0% return on investment in Advanced Micro over 30 days. Advanced Micro is related to or competes with NVIDIA, Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide More

Advanced Micro Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Advanced Micro's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Advanced Micro Devices upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Advanced Micro Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Advanced Micro's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Advanced Micro's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Advanced Micro historical prices to predict the future Advanced Micro's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
127.88130.50133.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
110.48113.10143.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
126.51129.13131.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
124.36133.69143.02
Details

Advanced Micro Devices Backtested Returns

Advanced Micro Devices secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0094, which signifies that the company had a -0.0094% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Advanced Micro Devices exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Advanced Micro's Downside Deviation of 2.6, risk adjusted performance of 0.0152, and Mean Deviation of 2.02 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Advanced Micro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Advanced Micro is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Advanced Micro Devices has a negative expected return of -0.0247%. Please make sure to confirm Advanced Micro's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if Advanced Micro Devices performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

Advanced Micro Devices has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Advanced Micro time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Advanced Micro Devices price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Advanced Micro price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.13

Advanced Micro Devices lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Advanced Micro stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Advanced Micro's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Advanced Micro returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Advanced Micro has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Advanced Micro regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Advanced Micro stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Advanced Micro stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Advanced Micro stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Advanced Micro Lagged Returns

When evaluating Advanced Micro's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Advanced Micro stock have on its future price. Advanced Micro autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Advanced Micro autocorrelation shows the relationship between Advanced Micro stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Advanced Micro Devices.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Advanced Stock

When determining whether Advanced Micro Devices is a strong investment it is important to analyze Advanced Micro's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Advanced Micro's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Advanced Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Advanced Micro Correlation, Advanced Micro Volatility and Advanced Micro Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Advanced Micro.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Advanced Micro technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Advanced Micro technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Advanced Micro trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...