Trilogiq (France) Market Value

ALTRI Stock  EUR 5.90  0.05  0.85%   
Trilogiq's market value is the price at which a share of Trilogiq trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Trilogiq investors about its performance. Trilogiq is selling at 5.90 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.85% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 5.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Trilogiq and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Trilogiq over a given investment horizon. Check out Trilogiq Correlation, Trilogiq Volatility and Trilogiq Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Trilogiq.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Trilogiq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trilogiq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trilogiq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Trilogiq 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Trilogiq's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Trilogiq.
0.00
12/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Trilogiq on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Trilogiq or generate 0.0% return on investment in Trilogiq over 720 days. Trilogiq is related to or competes with Passat Socit, Groupe Partouche, Gevelot, Plastiques, and VIEL Cie. Trilogiq S.A. designs and manufactures modular systems for automotive, electronics, and aerospace sectors in France and ... More

Trilogiq Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Trilogiq's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Trilogiq upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Trilogiq Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trilogiq's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Trilogiq's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Trilogiq historical prices to predict the future Trilogiq's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.225.907.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.915.597.27
Details

Trilogiq Backtested Returns

Trilogiq owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0152, which indicates the firm had a -0.0152% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Trilogiq exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Trilogiq's Semi Deviation of 1.38, coefficient of variation of 12127.6, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0117 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.33, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Trilogiq's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Trilogiq is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Trilogiq has a negative expected return of -0.0254%. Please make sure to validate Trilogiq's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Trilogiq performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.49  

Average predictability

Trilogiq has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Trilogiq time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Trilogiq price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Trilogiq price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.49
Spearman Rank Test0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.24

Trilogiq lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Trilogiq stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Trilogiq's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Trilogiq returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Trilogiq has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Trilogiq regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Trilogiq stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Trilogiq stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Trilogiq stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Trilogiq Lagged Returns

When evaluating Trilogiq's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Trilogiq stock have on its future price. Trilogiq autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Trilogiq autocorrelation shows the relationship between Trilogiq stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Trilogiq.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Trilogiq Stock Analysis

When running Trilogiq's price analysis, check to measure Trilogiq's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trilogiq is operating at the current time. Most of Trilogiq's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trilogiq's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trilogiq's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trilogiq to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.