Fountaine Pajo (France) Market Value

ALFPC Stock  EUR 102.00  1.00  0.97%   
Fountaine Pajo's market value is the price at which a share of Fountaine Pajo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fountaine Pajo investors about its performance. Fountaine Pajo is selling at 102.00 as of the 2nd of March 2025; that is 0.97% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 100.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fountaine Pajo and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fountaine Pajo over a given investment horizon. Check out Fountaine Pajo Correlation, Fountaine Pajo Volatility and Fountaine Pajo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fountaine Pajo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fountaine Pajo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fountaine Pajo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fountaine Pajo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fountaine Pajo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fountaine Pajo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fountaine Pajo.
0.00
01/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fountaine Pajo on January 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fountaine Pajo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fountaine Pajo over 30 days. Fountaine Pajo is related to or competes with SA Catana, Trigano SA, Bnteau SA, Piscines Desjoyaux, and Thermador Groupe. Fountaine Pajot SA produces and sells cruising catamarans worldwide More

Fountaine Pajo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fountaine Pajo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fountaine Pajo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fountaine Pajo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fountaine Pajo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fountaine Pajo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fountaine Pajo historical prices to predict the future Fountaine Pajo's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fountaine Pajo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.57102.00103.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.3599.78112.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.44103.87105.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.90101.28103.65
Details

Fountaine Pajo Backtested Returns

Fountaine Pajo appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Fountaine Pajo secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Fountaine Pajo, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Fountaine Pajo's Downside Deviation of 1.53, coefficient of variation of 639.22, and Mean Deviation of 1.03 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Fountaine Pajo holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.16, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fountaine Pajo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fountaine Pajo is likely to outperform the market. Please check Fountaine Pajo's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Fountaine Pajo's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.75  

Good predictability

Fountaine Pajo has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fountaine Pajo time series from 31st of January 2025 to 15th of February 2025 and 15th of February 2025 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fountaine Pajo price movement. The serial correlation of 0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Fountaine Pajo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.75
Spearman Rank Test0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.83

Fountaine Pajo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fountaine Pajo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fountaine Pajo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fountaine Pajo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fountaine Pajo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fountaine Pajo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fountaine Pajo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fountaine Pajo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fountaine Pajo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fountaine Pajo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fountaine Pajo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fountaine Pajo stock have on its future price. Fountaine Pajo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fountaine Pajo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fountaine Pajo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fountaine Pajo.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Fountaine Stock Analysis

When running Fountaine Pajo's price analysis, check to measure Fountaine Pajo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fountaine Pajo is operating at the current time. Most of Fountaine Pajo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fountaine Pajo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fountaine Pajo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fountaine Pajo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.