Invesco International Growth Fund Market Value

AIIYX Fund  USD 23.42  0.05  0.21%   
Invesco International's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco International Growth investors about its performance. Invesco International is trading at 23.42 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.21% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 23.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco International Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco International over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco International Correlation, Invesco International Volatility and Invesco International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco International.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco International on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco International Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco International over 30 days. Invesco International is related to or competes with Invesco Real, Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, and Invesco High. The fund invests primarily in equity securities of foreign issuers More

Invesco International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco International Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco International historical prices to predict the future Invesco International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5923.4224.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.4622.2925.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.5023.3424.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.8823.6324.37
Details

Invesco International Backtested Returns

Invesco International holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0645, which attests that the entity had a -0.0645% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invesco International exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invesco International's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), standard deviation of 0.8272, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.59, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invesco International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.09  

Very weak reverse predictability

Invesco International Growth has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco International time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Invesco International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.09
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Invesco International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco International mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco International Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco International security.
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