Federal Agricultural Mortgage Preferred Stock Market Value
| AGM-PE Preferred Stock | USD 23.71 0.26 1.11% |
| Symbol | Federal |
Federal Agricultural 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federal Agricultural's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federal Agricultural.
| 09/02/2024 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Federal Agricultural on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federal Agricultural Mortgage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federal Agricultural over 90 days. Federal Agricultural is related to or competes with Federal Agricultural, Federal Agricultural, Federal Agricultural, and Allstate. Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation provides a secondary market for various loans made to borrowers in the United ... More
Federal Agricultural Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federal Agricultural's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federal Agricultural Mortgage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.36) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.84 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6703 |
Federal Agricultural Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federal Agricultural's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federal Agricultural's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federal Agricultural historical prices to predict the future Federal Agricultural's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.12) |
Federal Agricultural Backtested Returns
At this point, Federal Agricultural is very steady. Federal Agricultural secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0036, which denotes the company had a 0.0036% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Federal Agricultural Mortgage, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Federal Agricultural's Variance of 0.148, standard deviation of 0.3848, and Mean Deviation of 0.2786 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0014%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0884, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federal Agricultural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federal Agricultural is expected to be smaller as well. Federal Agricultural right now shows a risk of 0.39%. Please confirm Federal Agricultural potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Federal Agricultural will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.83 |
Excellent reverse predictability
Federal Agricultural Mortgage has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federal Agricultural time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federal Agricultural price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Federal Agricultural price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.83 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.72 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Federal Agricultural lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Federal Agricultural preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federal Agricultural's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federal Agricultural returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federal Agricultural has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Federal Agricultural regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federal Agricultural preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federal Agricultural preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federal Agricultural preferred stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Federal Agricultural Lagged Returns
When evaluating Federal Agricultural's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federal Agricultural preferred stock have on its future price. Federal Agricultural autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federal Agricultural autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federal Agricultural preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federal Agricultural Mortgage.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Federal Preferred Stock
Federal Agricultural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal Agricultural security.