Askari General (Pakistan) Market Value

AGIC Stock   30.54  0.64  2.05%   
Askari General's market value is the price at which a share of Askari General trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Askari General Insurance investors about its performance. Askari General is trading at 30.54 as of the 4th of March 2025, a 2.05% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 31.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Askari General Insurance and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Askari General over a given investment horizon. Check out Askari General Correlation, Askari General Volatility and Askari General Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Askari General.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Askari General's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Askari General is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Askari General's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Askari General 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Askari General's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Askari General.
0.00
03/15/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/04/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Askari General on March 15, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Askari General Insurance or generate 0.0% return on investment in Askari General over 720 days. Askari General is related to or competes with Pakistan Reinsurance, Atlas Insurance, Crescent Star, United Insurance, Habib Insurance, and Premier Insurance. More

Askari General Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Askari General's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Askari General Insurance upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Askari General Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Askari General's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Askari General's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Askari General historical prices to predict the future Askari General's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.4531.1833.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.4630.1932.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.4331.1633.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.2729.8733.46
Details

Askari General Insurance Backtested Returns

Askari General appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Askari General Insurance secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Askari General Insurance, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Askari General's Mean Deviation of 1.86, risk adjusted performance of 0.1054, and Downside Deviation of 2.67 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Askari General holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Askari General's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Askari General is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Askari General's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Askari General's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.94  

Excellent predictability

Askari General Insurance has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Askari General time series from 15th of March 2023 to 9th of March 2024 and 9th of March 2024 to 4th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Askari General Insurance price movement. The serial correlation of 0.94 indicates that approximately 94.0% of current Askari General price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.94
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance11.81

Askari General Insurance lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Askari General stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Askari General's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Askari General returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Askari General has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Askari General regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Askari General stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Askari General stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Askari General stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Askari General Lagged Returns

When evaluating Askari General's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Askari General stock have on its future price. Askari General autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Askari General autocorrelation shows the relationship between Askari General stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Askari General Insurance.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Askari General

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Askari General position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Askari General will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Askari Stock

  0.71MSOT Masood Textile MillsPairCorr
  0.8LOADS LoadsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Askari General could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Askari General when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Askari General - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Askari General Insurance to buy it.
The correlation of Askari General is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Askari General moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Askari General Insurance moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Askari General can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Askari Stock

Askari General financial ratios help investors to determine whether Askari Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Askari with respect to the benefits of owning Askari General security.