Global Small Cap Fund Market Value

AGCVX Fund  USD 20.04  0.10  0.50%   
Global Small's market value is the price at which a share of Global Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Small Cap investors about its performance. Global Small is trading at 20.04 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.50 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Small Correlation, Global Small Volatility and Global Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Small.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Small on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Small over 30 days. Global Small is related to or competes with Old Westbury, Angel Oak, Maryland Short-term, Siit Ultra, The Short, and Quantitative Longshort. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities issued by small cap companies More

Global Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Small historical prices to predict the future Global Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1220.0420.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8519.7720.69
Details

Global Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Global Mutual Fund to be very steady. Global Small Cap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Global Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Global Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0848, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1, and Downside Deviation of 1.03 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.1, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Global Small returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Global Small is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Global Small Cap has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Small time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Global Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Global Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Small mutual fund have on its future price. Global Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Small security.
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