Aberdeen Global Unconstrained Fund Market Value

AGCIX Fund  USD 8.78  0.01  0.11%   
Aberdeen Global's market value is the price at which a share of Aberdeen Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aberdeen Global Unconstrained investors about its performance. Aberdeen Global is trading at 8.78 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.11% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.77.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aberdeen Global Unconstrained and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aberdeen Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Aberdeen Global Correlation, Aberdeen Global Volatility and Aberdeen Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aberdeen Global.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Aberdeen Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aberdeen Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aberdeen Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aberdeen Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aberdeen Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aberdeen Global.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aberdeen Global on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aberdeen Global Unconstrained or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aberdeen Global over 540 days. Aberdeen Global is related to or competes with Goldman Sachs, Biotechnology Fund, Global Technology, Janus Global, Goldman Sachs, Hennessy Technology, and Technology Ultrasector. Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets will be invested in U.S More

Aberdeen Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aberdeen Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aberdeen Global Unconstrained upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aberdeen Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aberdeen Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aberdeen Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aberdeen Global historical prices to predict the future Aberdeen Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.578.788.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.368.578.78
Details

Aberdeen Global Unco Backtested Returns

Aberdeen Global Unco secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0077, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0077% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Aberdeen Global Unconstrained exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aberdeen Global's mean deviation of 0.14, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0449, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aberdeen Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aberdeen Global is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Aberdeen Global Unconstrained has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aberdeen Global time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aberdeen Global Unco price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Aberdeen Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Aberdeen Global Unco lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aberdeen Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aberdeen Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aberdeen Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aberdeen Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aberdeen Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aberdeen Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aberdeen Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aberdeen Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aberdeen Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aberdeen Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aberdeen Global mutual fund have on its future price. Aberdeen Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aberdeen Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aberdeen Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aberdeen Global Unconstrained.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund

Aberdeen Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Global security.
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