Inflation Adjusted Bond Fund Market Value

ACITX Fund  USD 10.70  0.01  0.09%   
Inflation-adjusted's market value is the price at which a share of Inflation-adjusted trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Inflation Adjusted Bond Fund investors about its performance. Inflation-adjusted is trading at 10.70 as of the 5th of December 2024; that is 0.09 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.71.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Inflation Adjusted Bond Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Inflation-adjusted over a given investment horizon. Check out Inflation-adjusted Correlation, Inflation-adjusted Volatility and Inflation-adjusted Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inflation-adjusted.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Inflation-adjusted's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inflation-adjusted is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inflation-adjusted's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Inflation-adjusted 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Inflation-adjusted's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Inflation-adjusted.
0.00
12/16/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Inflation-adjusted on December 16, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Inflation Adjusted Bond Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Inflation-adjusted over 720 days. Inflation-adjusted is related to or competes with Artisan High, Limited Term, Maryland Tax-free, Ab Impact, and Versatile Bond. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in inflation-adjusted bonds More

Inflation-adjusted Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Inflation-adjusted's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Inflation Adjusted Bond Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Inflation-adjusted Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Inflation-adjusted's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Inflation-adjusted's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Inflation-adjusted historical prices to predict the future Inflation-adjusted's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inflation-adjusted's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4410.7010.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4510.7110.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4910.7511.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6310.6710.71
Details

Inflation Adjusted Bond Backtested Returns

Inflation Adjusted Bond holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0388, which attests that the entity had a -0.0388% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Inflation Adjusted Bond exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Inflation-adjusted's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19), downside deviation of 0.3132, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0491, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Inflation-adjusted's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Inflation-adjusted is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.77  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Inflation Adjusted Bond Fund has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Inflation-adjusted time series from 16th of December 2022 to 11th of December 2023 and 11th of December 2023 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Inflation Adjusted Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Inflation-adjusted price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.77
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Inflation Adjusted Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Inflation-adjusted mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Inflation-adjusted's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Inflation-adjusted returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Inflation-adjusted has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Inflation-adjusted regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Inflation-adjusted mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Inflation-adjusted mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Inflation-adjusted mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Inflation-adjusted Lagged Returns

When evaluating Inflation-adjusted's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Inflation-adjusted mutual fund have on its future price. Inflation-adjusted autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Inflation-adjusted autocorrelation shows the relationship between Inflation-adjusted mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Inflation Adjusted Bond Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Inflation-adjusted Mutual Fund

Inflation-adjusted financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inflation-adjusted Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inflation-adjusted with respect to the benefits of owning Inflation-adjusted security.
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