Allied Blenders (India) Market Value

ABDL Stock   371.85  2.05  0.55%   
Allied Blenders' market value is the price at which a share of Allied Blenders trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Allied Blenders Distillers investors about its performance. Allied Blenders is selling for under 371.85 as of the 13th of December 2024; that is 0.55 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 369.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Allied Blenders Distillers and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Allied Blenders over a given investment horizon. Check out Allied Blenders Correlation, Allied Blenders Volatility and Allied Blenders Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Allied Blenders.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Allied Blenders' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allied Blenders is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allied Blenders' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Allied Blenders 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allied Blenders' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allied Blenders.
0.00
11/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Allied Blenders on November 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Allied Blenders Distillers or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allied Blenders over 30 days. Allied Blenders is related to or competes with Kingfa Science, Rico Auto, GACM Technologies, COSMO FIRST, Delta Manufacturing, and Tribhovandas Bhimji. Allied Blenders is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Allied Blenders Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allied Blenders' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Allied Blenders Distillers upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Allied Blenders Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allied Blenders' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allied Blenders' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allied Blenders historical prices to predict the future Allied Blenders' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
373.42375.93378.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
354.49357.00411.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
397.65400.15402.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
291.80329.60367.39
Details

Allied Blenders Dist Backtested Returns

Currently, Allied Blenders Distillers is very steady. Allied Blenders Dist secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0332, which signifies that the company had a 0.0332% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Allied Blenders Distillers, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Allied Blenders' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0408, mean deviation of 1.8, and Downside Deviation of 2.11 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.083%. Allied Blenders has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.64, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Allied Blenders' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allied Blenders is expected to be smaller as well. Allied Blenders Dist right now shows a risk of 2.5%. Please confirm Allied Blenders Dist coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Allied Blenders Dist will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Allied Blenders Distillers has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allied Blenders time series from 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024 and 28th of November 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allied Blenders Dist price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Allied Blenders price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance305.02

Allied Blenders Dist lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Allied Blenders stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Allied Blenders' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Allied Blenders returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Allied Blenders has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Allied Blenders regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Allied Blenders stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Allied Blenders stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Allied Blenders stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Allied Blenders Lagged Returns

When evaluating Allied Blenders' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Allied Blenders stock have on its future price. Allied Blenders autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Allied Blenders autocorrelation shows the relationship between Allied Blenders stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Allied Blenders Distillers.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Allied Stock Analysis

When running Allied Blenders' price analysis, check to measure Allied Blenders' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allied Blenders is operating at the current time. Most of Allied Blenders' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allied Blenders' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allied Blenders' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allied Blenders to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.