Autodesk (Brazil) Market Value

A1UT34 Stock  BRL 453.64  7.24  1.62%   
Autodesk's market value is the price at which a share of Autodesk trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Autodesk investors about its performance. Autodesk is trading at 453.64 as of the 10th of January 2025, a 1.62% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 446.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Autodesk and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Autodesk over a given investment horizon. Check out Autodesk Correlation, Autodesk Volatility and Autodesk Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Autodesk.
For information on how to trade Autodesk Stock refer to our How to Trade Autodesk Stock guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Autodesk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Autodesk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Autodesk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Autodesk 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Autodesk's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Autodesk.
0.00
01/21/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Autodesk on January 21, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Autodesk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Autodesk over 720 days. Autodesk is related to or competes with Live Nation, Monster Beverage, Tyson Foods, and Healthpeak Properties. Autodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide More

Autodesk Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Autodesk's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Autodesk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Autodesk Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Autodesk's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Autodesk's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Autodesk historical prices to predict the future Autodesk's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
451.89453.64455.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
377.21378.96499.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
449.74451.50453.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
444.60457.61470.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Autodesk. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Autodesk's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Autodesk's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Autodesk.

Autodesk Backtested Returns

Autodesk appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Autodesk secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Autodesk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Autodesk's Mean Deviation of 1.24, risk adjusted performance of 0.1638, and Downside Deviation of 2.14 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Autodesk holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0943, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Autodesk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Autodesk is likely to outperform the market. Please check Autodesk's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Autodesk's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Autodesk has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Autodesk time series from 21st of January 2023 to 16th of January 2024 and 16th of January 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Autodesk price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Autodesk price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3175.91

Autodesk lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Autodesk stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Autodesk's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Autodesk returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Autodesk has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Autodesk regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Autodesk stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Autodesk stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Autodesk stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Autodesk Lagged Returns

When evaluating Autodesk's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Autodesk stock have on its future price. Autodesk autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Autodesk autocorrelation shows the relationship between Autodesk stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Autodesk.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Autodesk Stock

When determining whether Autodesk is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Autodesk Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Autodesk Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Autodesk Stock:
Check out Autodesk Correlation, Autodesk Volatility and Autodesk Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Autodesk.
For information on how to trade Autodesk Stock refer to our How to Trade Autodesk Stock guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Autodesk technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Autodesk technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Autodesk trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...