Chief Telecom (Taiwan) Market Value

6561 Stock   474.00  6.50  1.35%   
Chief Telecom's market value is the price at which a share of Chief Telecom trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chief Telecom investors about its performance. Chief Telecom is selling for under 474.00 as of the 13th of December 2024; that is 1.35 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 468.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chief Telecom and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chief Telecom over a given investment horizon. Check out Chief Telecom Correlation, Chief Telecom Volatility and Chief Telecom Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chief Telecom.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chief Telecom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chief Telecom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chief Telecom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chief Telecom 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chief Telecom's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chief Telecom.
0.00
12/24/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chief Telecom on December 24, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chief Telecom or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chief Telecom over 720 days. Chief Telecom is related to or competes with Sunny Friend, Aspeed Technology, Standard Foods, Realtek Semiconductor, and China Steel. More

Chief Telecom Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chief Telecom's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chief Telecom upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chief Telecom Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chief Telecom's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chief Telecom's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chief Telecom historical prices to predict the future Chief Telecom's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
471.93474.00476.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
467.19469.26521.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
467.82469.89471.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
483.79506.82529.86
Details

Chief Telecom Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Chief Stock to be very steady. Chief Telecom secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0034, which signifies that the company had a 0.0034% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Chief Telecom, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Chief Telecom's Downside Deviation of 1.88, risk adjusted performance of 0.0068, and Mean Deviation of 1.36 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.007%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Chief Telecom's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chief Telecom is expected to be smaller as well. Chief Telecom right now shows a risk of 2.07%. Please confirm Chief Telecom downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Chief Telecom will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.11  

Insignificant predictability

Chief Telecom has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chief Telecom time series from 24th of December 2022 to 19th of December 2023 and 19th of December 2023 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chief Telecom price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Chief Telecom price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.11
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5243.83

Chief Telecom lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chief Telecom stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chief Telecom's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chief Telecom returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chief Telecom has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chief Telecom regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chief Telecom stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chief Telecom stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chief Telecom stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chief Telecom Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chief Telecom's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chief Telecom stock have on its future price. Chief Telecom autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chief Telecom autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chief Telecom stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chief Telecom.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Chief Telecom

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Chief Telecom position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chief Telecom will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Chief Stock

  0.686170 WelldonePairCorr

Moving against Chief Stock

  0.732327 Yageo CorpPairCorr
  0.712474 Catcher TechnologyPairCorr
  0.564966 Parade TechnologiesPairCorr
  0.430051 YuantaP shares TaiwanPairCorr
  0.396163 Hwacom SystemsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Chief Telecom could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Chief Telecom when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Chief Telecom - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Chief Telecom to buy it.
The correlation of Chief Telecom is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Chief Telecom moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Chief Telecom moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Chief Telecom can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Chief Stock Analysis

When running Chief Telecom's price analysis, check to measure Chief Telecom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chief Telecom is operating at the current time. Most of Chief Telecom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chief Telecom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chief Telecom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chief Telecom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.