Wonderful (Taiwan) Market Value

6190 Stock  TWD 35.20  0.25  0.72%   
Wonderful's market value is the price at which a share of Wonderful trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wonderful Hi Tech Co investors about its performance. Wonderful is selling for under 35.20 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.72 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 35.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wonderful Hi Tech Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wonderful over a given investment horizon. Check out Wonderful Correlation, Wonderful Volatility and Wonderful Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wonderful.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wonderful's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wonderful is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wonderful's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wonderful 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wonderful's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wonderful.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wonderful on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wonderful Hi Tech Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wonderful over 30 days. Wonderful is related to or competes with Gemtek Technology, Ruentex Development, WiseChip Semiconductor, Novatek Microelectronics, Leader Electronics, Information Technology, and Kinko Optical. More

Wonderful Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wonderful's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wonderful Hi Tech Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wonderful Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wonderful's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wonderful's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wonderful historical prices to predict the future Wonderful's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.1035.2037.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7135.8137.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.6235.7237.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.1035.0937.08
Details

Wonderful Hi Tech Backtested Returns

Wonderful Hi Tech shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0248, which attests that the company had a -0.0248% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Wonderful Hi Tech exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Wonderful's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14), mean deviation of 1.46, and Standard Deviation of 2.12 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.87, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Wonderful returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Wonderful is expected to follow. At this point, Wonderful Hi Tech has a negative expected return of -0.0522%. Please make sure to check out Wonderful's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Wonderful Hi Tech performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Wonderful Hi Tech Co has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wonderful time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wonderful Hi Tech price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Wonderful price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.17

Wonderful Hi Tech lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wonderful stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wonderful's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wonderful returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wonderful has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wonderful regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wonderful stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wonderful stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wonderful stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wonderful Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wonderful's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wonderful stock have on its future price. Wonderful autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wonderful autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wonderful stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wonderful Hi Tech Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Wonderful

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Wonderful position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Wonderful will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Wonderful Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Wonderful could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Wonderful when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Wonderful - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Wonderful Hi Tech Co to buy it.
The correlation of Wonderful is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Wonderful moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Wonderful Hi Tech moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Wonderful can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Wonderful Stock Analysis

When running Wonderful's price analysis, check to measure Wonderful's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wonderful is operating at the current time. Most of Wonderful's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wonderful's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wonderful's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wonderful to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.