China Shenhua (China) Market Value
| 601088 Stock | 40.23 0.62 1.57% |
| Symbol | China |
China Shenhua 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Shenhua's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Shenhua.
| 08/06/2024 |
| 12/04/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in China Shenhua on August 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Shenhua Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Shenhua over 120 days. China Shenhua is related to or competes with Hefei Metalforming, Shengda Mining, Uroica Mining, Zhejiang Yayi, Shenyang Huitian, Guocheng Mining, and Hainan Mining. China Shenhua is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More
China Shenhua Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Shenhua's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Shenhua Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.35 |
China Shenhua Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Shenhua's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Shenhua's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Shenhua historical prices to predict the future China Shenhua's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0129 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0122 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.17) |
China Shenhua Energy Backtested Returns
At this point, China Shenhua is very steady. China Shenhua Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0426, which signifies that the company had a 0.0426% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for China Shenhua Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm China Shenhua's Downside Deviation of 1.74, mean deviation of 1.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0129 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0857%. China Shenhua has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0447, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning China Shenhua are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, China Shenhua is likely to outperform the market. China Shenhua Energy right now shows a risk of 2.01%. Please confirm China Shenhua Energy downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if China Shenhua Energy will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.03 |
Very weak reverse predictability
China Shenhua Energy has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Shenhua time series from 6th of August 2024 to 5th of October 2024 and 5th of October 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Shenhua Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current China Shenhua price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.86 |
China Shenhua Energy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is China Shenhua stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Shenhua's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Shenhua returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Shenhua has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
China Shenhua regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Shenhua stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Shenhua stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Shenhua stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
China Shenhua Lagged Returns
When evaluating China Shenhua's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Shenhua stock have on its future price. China Shenhua autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Shenhua autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Shenhua stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Shenhua Energy.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China Shenhua financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Shenhua security.