ServiceNow (Germany) Market Value
| 4S0 Stock | EUR 773.80 26.20 3.50% |
| Symbol | ServiceNow |
ServiceNow 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ServiceNow's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ServiceNow.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ServiceNow on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ServiceNow or generate 0.0% return on investment in ServiceNow over 90 days. ServiceNow is related to or competes with MCEWEN MINING, CarsalesCom, COMMERCIAL VEHICLE, Commercial Vehicle, DISTRICT METALS, and Harmony Gold. ServiceNow, Inc. provides enterprise cloud computing solutions that defines, structures, consolidates, manages, and auto... More
ServiceNow Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ServiceNow's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ServiceNow upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.62 |
ServiceNow Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ServiceNow's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ServiceNow's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ServiceNow historical prices to predict the future ServiceNow's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.18) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.61) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.61 |
ServiceNow Backtested Returns
ServiceNow owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.22, which indicates the firm had a -0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ServiceNow exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate ServiceNow's Variance of 6.51, risk adjusted performance of (0.18), and Coefficient Of Variation of (457.04) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.35, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ServiceNow are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ServiceNow is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ServiceNow has a negative expected return of -0.56%. Please make sure to validate ServiceNow's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if ServiceNow performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.32 |
Poor reverse predictability
ServiceNow has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ServiceNow time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ServiceNow price movement. The serial correlation of -0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current ServiceNow price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.32 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5361.85 |
ServiceNow lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ServiceNow stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ServiceNow's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ServiceNow returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ServiceNow has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
ServiceNow regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ServiceNow stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ServiceNow stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ServiceNow stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
ServiceNow Lagged Returns
When evaluating ServiceNow's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ServiceNow stock have on its future price. ServiceNow autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ServiceNow autocorrelation shows the relationship between ServiceNow stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ServiceNow.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ServiceNow Stock
When determining whether ServiceNow is a strong investment it is important to analyze ServiceNow's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ServiceNow's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ServiceNow Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out ServiceNow Correlation, ServiceNow Volatility and ServiceNow Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ServiceNow. For more detail on how to invest in ServiceNow Stock please use our How to Invest in ServiceNow guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
ServiceNow technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.