Shenmao Technology (Taiwan) Market Value

3305 Stock  TWD 65.10  0.90  1.36%   
Shenmao Technology's market value is the price at which a share of Shenmao Technology trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shenmao Technology investors about its performance. Shenmao Technology is selling for under 65.10 as of the 9th of January 2025; that is 1.36 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 64.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shenmao Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shenmao Technology over a given investment horizon. Check out Shenmao Technology Correlation, Shenmao Technology Volatility and Shenmao Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shenmao Technology.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Shenmao Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shenmao Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shenmao Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shenmao Technology 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shenmao Technology's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shenmao Technology.
0.00
12/10/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/09/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shenmao Technology on December 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shenmao Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shenmao Technology over 30 days. Shenmao Technology is related to or competes with Arcadyan Technology, Asia Vital, WPG Holdings, Genius Electronic, and FocalTech Systems. Shenmao Technology Inc. manufactures and sells solder materials for the electronic industry worldwide More

Shenmao Technology Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shenmao Technology's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shenmao Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shenmao Technology Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shenmao Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shenmao Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shenmao Technology historical prices to predict the future Shenmao Technology's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.6865.1066.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.5165.9267.35
Details

Shenmao Technology Backtested Returns

Shenmao Technology owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0549, which indicates the firm had a -0.0549% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Shenmao Technology exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Shenmao Technology's Variance of 2.07, coefficient of variation of (917.12), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.39, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Shenmao Technology's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shenmao Technology is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Shenmao Technology has a negative expected return of -0.0778%. Please make sure to validate Shenmao Technology's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Shenmao Technology performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.39  

Poor reverse predictability

Shenmao Technology has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shenmao Technology time series from 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024 and 25th of December 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shenmao Technology price movement. The serial correlation of -0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Shenmao Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.39
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.58

Shenmao Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shenmao Technology stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shenmao Technology's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shenmao Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shenmao Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shenmao Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shenmao Technology stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shenmao Technology stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shenmao Technology stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shenmao Technology Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shenmao Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shenmao Technology stock have on its future price. Shenmao Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shenmao Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shenmao Technology stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shenmao Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Shenmao Stock Analysis

When running Shenmao Technology's price analysis, check to measure Shenmao Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shenmao Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Shenmao Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shenmao Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shenmao Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shenmao Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.