PPHE HOTEL (Germany) Market Value

32P Stock  EUR 15.80  0.10  0.64%   
PPHE HOTEL's market value is the price at which a share of PPHE HOTEL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PPHE HOTEL GROUP investors about its performance. PPHE HOTEL is trading at 15.80 as of the 12th of December 2024, a 0.64% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 15.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PPHE HOTEL GROUP and determine expected loss or profit from investing in PPHE HOTEL over a given investment horizon. Check out PPHE HOTEL Correlation, PPHE HOTEL Volatility and PPHE HOTEL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on PPHE HOTEL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between PPHE HOTEL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PPHE HOTEL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PPHE HOTEL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

PPHE HOTEL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PPHE HOTEL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PPHE HOTEL.
0.00
10/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in PPHE HOTEL on October 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PPHE HOTEL GROUP or generate 0.0% return on investment in PPHE HOTEL over 60 days. PPHE HOTEL is related to or competes with Zijin Mining, MCEWEN MINING, Salesforce, Calibre Mining, Clearside Biomedical, Diamyd Medical, and CODERE ONLINE. More

PPHE HOTEL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PPHE HOTEL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PPHE HOTEL GROUP upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

PPHE HOTEL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PPHE HOTEL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PPHE HOTEL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PPHE HOTEL historical prices to predict the future PPHE HOTEL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2215.8017.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7015.2816.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6317.2118.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2414.3615.47
Details

PPHE HOTEL GROUP Backtested Returns

At this point, PPHE HOTEL is very steady. PPHE HOTEL GROUP maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0904, which implies the firm had a 0.0904% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for PPHE HOTEL GROUP, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check PPHE HOTEL's semi deviation of 0.9603, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0697 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. PPHE HOTEL has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.12, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, PPHE HOTEL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding PPHE HOTEL is expected to be smaller as well. PPHE HOTEL GROUP currently holds a risk of 1.58%. Please check PPHE HOTEL GROUP semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if PPHE HOTEL GROUP will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.47  

Average predictability

PPHE HOTEL GROUP has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PPHE HOTEL time series from 13th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PPHE HOTEL GROUP price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current PPHE HOTEL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.47
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.47

PPHE HOTEL GROUP lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is PPHE HOTEL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PPHE HOTEL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PPHE HOTEL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PPHE HOTEL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

PPHE HOTEL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PPHE HOTEL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PPHE HOTEL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PPHE HOTEL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

PPHE HOTEL Lagged Returns

When evaluating PPHE HOTEL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PPHE HOTEL stock have on its future price. PPHE HOTEL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PPHE HOTEL autocorrelation shows the relationship between PPHE HOTEL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PPHE HOTEL GROUP.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in PPHE Stock

PPHE HOTEL financial ratios help investors to determine whether PPHE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PPHE with respect to the benefits of owning PPHE HOTEL security.