Holy Stone (Taiwan) Market Value

3026 Stock  TWD 86.50  1.70  1.93%   
Holy Stone's market value is the price at which a share of Holy Stone trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Holy Stone Enterprise investors about its performance. Holy Stone is selling for under 86.50 as of the 15th of December 2024; that is 1.93 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 86.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Holy Stone Enterprise and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Holy Stone over a given investment horizon. Check out Holy Stone Correlation, Holy Stone Volatility and Holy Stone Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Holy Stone.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Holy Stone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Holy Stone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Holy Stone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Holy Stone 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Holy Stone's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Holy Stone.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Holy Stone on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Holy Stone Enterprise or generate 0.0% return on investment in Holy Stone over 30 days. Holy Stone is related to or competes with AU Optronics, Innolux Corp, Ruentex Development, WiseChip Semiconductor, Novatek Microelectronics, Leader Electronics, and Information Technology. ,Ltd. manufactures and sells multilayer ceramic capacitors under the HEC brand name worldwide More

Holy Stone Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Holy Stone's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Holy Stone Enterprise upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Holy Stone Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Holy Stone's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Holy Stone's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Holy Stone historical prices to predict the future Holy Stone's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.8686.5087.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.8588.0888.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.9285.5586.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.0488.9191.78
Details

Holy Stone Enterprise Backtested Returns

Holy Stone Enterprise holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0776, which attests that the entity had a -0.0776% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Holy Stone Enterprise exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Holy Stone's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 0.6501, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.22, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Holy Stone's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Holy Stone is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Holy Stone Enterprise has a negative expected return of -0.0495%. Please make sure to check out Holy Stone's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Holy Stone Enterprise performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

Holy Stone Enterprise has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Holy Stone time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Holy Stone Enterprise price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Holy Stone price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.88

Holy Stone Enterprise lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Holy Stone stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Holy Stone's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Holy Stone returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Holy Stone has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Holy Stone regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Holy Stone stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Holy Stone stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Holy Stone stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Holy Stone Lagged Returns

When evaluating Holy Stone's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Holy Stone stock have on its future price. Holy Stone autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Holy Stone autocorrelation shows the relationship between Holy Stone stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Holy Stone Enterprise.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Holy Stock Analysis

When running Holy Stone's price analysis, check to measure Holy Stone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Holy Stone is operating at the current time. Most of Holy Stone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Holy Stone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Holy Stone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Holy Stone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.