Anhui Tongguan (China) Market Value

301217 Stock   12.38  0.31  2.57%   
Anhui Tongguan's market value is the price at which a share of Anhui Tongguan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Anhui Tongguan Copper investors about its performance. Anhui Tongguan is trading at 12.38 as of the 16th of March 2025, a 2.57% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Anhui Tongguan Copper and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Anhui Tongguan over a given investment horizon. Check out Anhui Tongguan Correlation, Anhui Tongguan Volatility and Anhui Tongguan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Anhui Tongguan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Anhui Tongguan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Anhui Tongguan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anhui Tongguan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Anhui Tongguan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Anhui Tongguan's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Anhui Tongguan.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Anhui Tongguan on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Anhui Tongguan Copper or generate 0.0% return on investment in Anhui Tongguan over 90 days. Anhui Tongguan is related to or competes with Lier Chemical, Zotye Automobile, Haima Automobile, Nanning Chemical, Ningbo Fangzheng, Songz Automobile, and Anhui Jianghuai. Anhui Tongguan is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Anhui Tongguan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Anhui Tongguan's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Anhui Tongguan Copper upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Anhui Tongguan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Anhui Tongguan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Anhui Tongguan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Anhui Tongguan historical prices to predict the future Anhui Tongguan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6112.3615.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9911.7414.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6712.4215.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.01
Details

Anhui Tongguan Copper Backtested Returns

Anhui Tongguan appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Anhui Tongguan Copper secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0915, which signifies that the company had a 0.0915 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Anhui Tongguan Copper, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Anhui Tongguan's mean deviation of 1.96, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0794 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Anhui Tongguan holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Anhui Tongguan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Anhui Tongguan is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Anhui Tongguan's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Anhui Tongguan's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

Anhui Tongguan Copper has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Anhui Tongguan time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Anhui Tongguan Copper price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Anhui Tongguan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Anhui Tongguan Copper lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Anhui Tongguan stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Anhui Tongguan's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Anhui Tongguan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Anhui Tongguan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Anhui Tongguan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Anhui Tongguan stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Anhui Tongguan stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Anhui Tongguan stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Anhui Tongguan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Anhui Tongguan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Anhui Tongguan stock have on its future price. Anhui Tongguan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Anhui Tongguan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Anhui Tongguan stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Anhui Tongguan Copper.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Anhui Stock

Anhui Tongguan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anhui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anhui with respect to the benefits of owning Anhui Tongguan security.