Shandong Sanyuan (China) Market Value

301206 Stock   27.70  0.42  1.49%   
Shandong Sanyuan's market value is the price at which a share of Shandong Sanyuan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shandong Sanyuan Biotechnology investors about its performance. Shandong Sanyuan is trading at 27.70 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 1.49% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 28.12.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shandong Sanyuan Biotechnology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shandong Sanyuan over a given investment horizon. Check out Shandong Sanyuan Correlation, Shandong Sanyuan Volatility and Shandong Sanyuan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shandong Sanyuan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Shandong Sanyuan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shandong Sanyuan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shandong Sanyuan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shandong Sanyuan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shandong Sanyuan's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shandong Sanyuan.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shandong Sanyuan on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shandong Sanyuan Biotechnology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shandong Sanyuan over 30 days. Shandong Sanyuan is related to or competes with Poly Real, China Vanke, China Merchants, Huafa Industrial, China International, Kweichow Moutai, and Xiamen CD. Shandong Sanyuan is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Shandong Sanyuan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shandong Sanyuan's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shandong Sanyuan Biotechnology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shandong Sanyuan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shandong Sanyuan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shandong Sanyuan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shandong Sanyuan historical prices to predict the future Shandong Sanyuan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.3228.1831.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7927.6530.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2028.0630.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.150.150.15
Details

Shandong Sanyuan Bio Backtested Returns

Shandong Sanyuan appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Shandong Sanyuan Bio owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0841, which indicates the firm had a 0.0841% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Shandong Sanyuan Biotechnology, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Shandong Sanyuan's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0886, semi deviation of 2.3, and Coefficient Of Variation of 937.54 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Shandong Sanyuan holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Shandong Sanyuan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shandong Sanyuan is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Shandong Sanyuan's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Shandong Sanyuan's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.89  

Excellent reverse predictability

Shandong Sanyuan Biotechnology has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shandong Sanyuan time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shandong Sanyuan Bio price movement. The serial correlation of -0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Shandong Sanyuan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.89
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Shandong Sanyuan Bio lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shandong Sanyuan stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shandong Sanyuan's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shandong Sanyuan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shandong Sanyuan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shandong Sanyuan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shandong Sanyuan stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shandong Sanyuan stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shandong Sanyuan stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shandong Sanyuan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shandong Sanyuan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shandong Sanyuan stock have on its future price. Shandong Sanyuan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shandong Sanyuan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shandong Sanyuan stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shandong Sanyuan Biotechnology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Shandong Stock

Shandong Sanyuan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shandong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shandong with respect to the benefits of owning Shandong Sanyuan security.