Malion New (China) Market Value

300586 Stock   8.62  0.22  2.62%   
Malion New's market value is the price at which a share of Malion New trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Malion New Materials investors about its performance. Malion New is trading at 8.62 as of the 28th of December 2024, a 2.62 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 8.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Malion New Materials and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Malion New over a given investment horizon. Check out Malion New Correlation, Malion New Volatility and Malion New Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Malion New.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Malion New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Malion New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Malion New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Malion New 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Malion New's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Malion New.
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11/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Malion New on November 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Malion New Materials or generate 0.0% return on investment in Malion New over 30 days. Malion New is related to or competes with Zijin Mining, Wanhua Chemical, Baoshan Iron, Shandong Gold, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Inner Mongolia, and Jiangxi Ganfeng. Malion New is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Malion New Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Malion New's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Malion New Materials upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Malion New Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Malion New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Malion New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Malion New historical prices to predict the future Malion New's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.708.6213.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.308.2213.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Malion New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Malion New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Malion New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Malion New Materials.

Malion New Materials Backtested Returns

Malion New appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Malion New Materials has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0585, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0585% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Malion New, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Malion New's Downside Deviation of 4.55, mean deviation of 3.45, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1128 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Malion New holds a performance score of 4. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.1, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Malion New's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Malion New is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Malion New's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Malion New's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

Malion New Materials has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Malion New time series from 28th of November 2024 to 13th of December 2024 and 13th of December 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Malion New Materials price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Malion New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test-0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.19

Malion New Materials lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Malion New stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Malion New's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Malion New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Malion New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Malion New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Malion New stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Malion New stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Malion New stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Malion New Lagged Returns

When evaluating Malion New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Malion New stock have on its future price. Malion New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Malion New autocorrelation shows the relationship between Malion New stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Malion New Materials.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Malion Stock

Malion New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Malion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Malion with respect to the benefits of owning Malion New security.