SM Energy (UK) Market Value
| 0KZA Stock | 30.09 0.28 0.94% |
| Symbol | 0KZA |
SM Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SM Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SM Energy.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in SM Energy on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SM Energy Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in SM Energy over 90 days. SM Energy is related to or competes with Pets At, Bet At, Beazer Homes, Scandic Hotels, Baker Steel, Seche Environnement, and American Homes. More
SM Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SM Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SM Energy Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.79) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.98 |
SM Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SM Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SM Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SM Energy historical prices to predict the future SM Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5018 |
SM Energy Backtested Returns
SM Energy retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the firm had a -0.13 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. SM Energy exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SM Energy's Standard Deviation of 2.9, mean deviation of 2.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.78, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning SM Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, SM Energy is likely to outperform the market. At this point, SM Energy has a negative expected return of -0.36%. Please make sure to validate SM Energy's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if SM Energy performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Auto-correlation | -0.24 |
Weak reverse predictability
SM Energy Co has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SM Energy time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SM Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current SM Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.46 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 19.15 |
SM Energy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is SM Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SM Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SM Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SM Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
SM Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SM Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SM Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SM Energy stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
SM Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating SM Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SM Energy stock have on its future price. SM Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SM Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between SM Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SM Energy Co.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for 0KZA Stock Analysis
When running SM Energy's price analysis, check to measure SM Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SM Energy is operating at the current time. Most of SM Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SM Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SM Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SM Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.