HCA Healthcare (UK) Market Value

0J1R Stock   318.63  9.49  2.89%   
HCA Healthcare's market value is the price at which a share of HCA Healthcare trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HCA Healthcare investors about its performance. HCA Healthcare is selling for under 318.63 as of the 27th of February 2025; that is 2.89% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 316.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HCA Healthcare and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HCA Healthcare over a given investment horizon. Check out HCA Healthcare Correlation, HCA Healthcare Volatility and HCA Healthcare Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HCA Healthcare.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HCA Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HCA Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HCA Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HCA Healthcare 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HCA Healthcare's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HCA Healthcare.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HCA Healthcare on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HCA Healthcare or generate 0.0% return on investment in HCA Healthcare over 30 days. HCA Healthcare is related to or competes with Fulcrum Metals, AMG Advanced, Metals Exploration, Southern Copper, Ecclesiastical Insurance, Hochschild Mining, and Infrastrutture Wireless. HCA Healthcare is entity of United Kingdom More

HCA Healthcare Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HCA Healthcare's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HCA Healthcare upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HCA Healthcare Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HCA Healthcare's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HCA Healthcare's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HCA Healthcare historical prices to predict the future HCA Healthcare's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
316.97318.63320.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
264.81266.47350.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
324.71326.36328.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
308.68323.35338.01
Details

HCA Healthcare Backtested Returns

HCA Healthcare retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0157, which attests that the company had a -0.0157 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. HCA Healthcare exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out HCA Healthcare's Coefficient Of Variation of (7,290), variance of 2.63, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.35) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0888, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HCA Healthcare's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HCA Healthcare is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, HCA Healthcare has a negative expected return of -0.0261%. Please make sure to check out HCA Healthcare's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if HCA Healthcare performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

HCA Healthcare has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HCA Healthcare time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HCA Healthcare price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current HCA Healthcare price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance16.14

HCA Healthcare lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HCA Healthcare stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HCA Healthcare's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HCA Healthcare returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HCA Healthcare has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HCA Healthcare regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HCA Healthcare stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HCA Healthcare stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HCA Healthcare stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HCA Healthcare Lagged Returns

When evaluating HCA Healthcare's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HCA Healthcare stock have on its future price. HCA Healthcare autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HCA Healthcare autocorrelation shows the relationship between HCA Healthcare stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HCA Healthcare.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for HCA Stock Analysis

When running HCA Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure HCA Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HCA Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of HCA Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HCA Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HCA Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HCA Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.