Is Aileron Therapeutics Stock a Good Investment?
Aileron Therapeutics Investment Advice | ALRN |
- Examine Aileron Therapeutics' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Aileron Therapeutics' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Aileron Therapeutics navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Biotechnology space and any emerging trends that could impact Aileron Therapeutics' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Aileron Therapeutics' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Aileron Therapeutics is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Aileron Therapeutics pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Aileron Therapeutics' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Aileron Therapeutics stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Aileron Therapeutics is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Aileron Therapeutics Stock
Researching Aileron Therapeutics' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 28.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aileron Therapeutics recorded a loss per share of 2.88. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 11th of November 2022.
To determine if Aileron Therapeutics is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Aileron Therapeutics' research are outlined below:
| Aileron Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (15.73 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (17.01 M). | |
| Aileron Therapeutics currently holds about 32.38 M in cash with (19.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36. | |
| Aileron Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 337 shares by University Of Texastexas Am Investment Management Co of Aileron Therapeutics at 4.28 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Aileron Therapeutics Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments |
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Aileron Therapeutics uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Aileron Therapeutics. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aileron Therapeutics' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 18th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 13th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 18th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aileron Therapeutics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Aileron Therapeutics' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-08-11 | 2023-06-30 | -0.52 | -0.39 | 0.13 | 25 | ||
2024-11-04 | 2024-09-30 | -0.41 | -0.27 | 0.14 | 34 | ||
2023-05-08 | 2023-03-31 | -0.86 | -1.05 | -0.19 | 22 | ||
2022-11-01 | 2022-09-30 | -1.65 | -1.4 | 0.25 | 15 | ||
2022-05-05 | 2022-03-31 | -1.53 | -1.8 | -0.27 | 17 | ||
2021-08-11 | 2021-06-30 | -1.47 | -1.2 | 0.27 | 18 | ||
2023-03-20 | 2022-12-31 | -1.34 | -1.02 | 0.32 | 23 | ||
2020-11-12 | 2020-09-30 | -2.96 | -2.6 | 0.36 | 12 |
Know Aileron Therapeutics' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aileron Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aileron Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Aileron Therapeutics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aileron Therapeutics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-06-30 | 60.2 K | Warberg Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 31.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 31.3 K | Blair William & Co | 2024-06-30 | 28 K | Texas Capital Bank Wealth Management Services Inc | 2024-06-30 | 26.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 25.8 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 13.2 K | Kg&l Capital Management,llc | 2024-09-30 | 13 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 10.4 K | University Of Texas Investment Mgmt Co | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 540 K |
Aileron Therapeutics' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 59.36 M.Market Cap |
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Aileron Therapeutics' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.77) | (0.81) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.16) | (0.17) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.15) | (0.16) | |
| Return On Equity | (2.28) | (2.17) |
Determining Aileron Therapeutics' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Aileron Therapeutics is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Aileron Therapeutics' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Aileron Therapeutics' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Aileron Therapeutics' management efficiency
Aileron Therapeutics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2586) % which means that it has lost $0.2586 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.4432) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Aileron Therapeutics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aileron Therapeutics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 30th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.81. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.17. At this time, Aileron Therapeutics' Intangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to grow to 0.76, while Other Assets are likely to drop 0.00.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 21.37 | 20.31 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 2.78 | 2.64 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 0.21 | 0.22 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 2.04 | 2.14 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 0.21 | 0.22 | |
| Price Fair Value | 2.04 | 2.14 | |
| Enterprise Value | -3.2 M | -3.1 M |
The strategic initiatives led by Aileron Therapeutics' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Beta 2.341 |
Basic technical analysis of Aileron Stock
As of the 30th of November, Aileron Therapeutics shows the Downside Deviation of 5.06, mean deviation of 4.31, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0666. Aileron Therapeutics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.Aileron Therapeutics' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aileron Therapeutics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aileron Therapeutics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aileron Therapeutics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Aileron Therapeutics' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Aileron Therapeutics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Aileron Therapeutics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Aileron bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Aileron Therapeutics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Understand Aileron Therapeutics' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Aileron Therapeutics' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0666 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.33 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.65 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.06 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1321.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.03 | |||
| Variance | 36.35 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0528 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4216 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.56) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0629 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.32 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 41.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.03) | |||
| Skewness | 1.34 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.86 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0666 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.33 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.65 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.06 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1321.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.03 | |||
| Variance | 36.35 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0528 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4216 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.56) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0629 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.32 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 41.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.03) | |||
| Skewness | 1.34 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.86 |
Consider Aileron Therapeutics' intraday indicators
Aileron Therapeutics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aileron Therapeutics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Aileron Therapeutics Corporate Filings
10Q | 14th of November 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
| 5th of November 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 22nd of August 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 21st of August 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
Aileron Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Aileron Therapeutics that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Aileron media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Aileron internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Aileron data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Aileron Therapeutics news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Aileron Therapeutics relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Aileron Therapeutics' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Aileron Therapeutics alpha.
Aileron Therapeutics Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Aileron Therapeutics can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Already Invested in Aileron Therapeutics?
The danger of trading Aileron Therapeutics is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Aileron Therapeutics is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Aileron Therapeutics. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Aileron Therapeutics is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Aileron Therapeutics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aileron Therapeutics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aileron Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aileron Therapeutics Stock: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aileron Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. To learn how to invest in Aileron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aileron Therapeutics guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aileron Therapeutics. If investors know Aileron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aileron Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.88) | Return On Assets (0.26) | Return On Equity (0.44) |
The market value of Aileron Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aileron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aileron Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aileron Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aileron Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aileron Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Aileron Therapeutics' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Aileron Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aileron Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.