Is Champions Oncology (USA Stocks:CSBR) gaining more confidence from retail investors?

Champions Oncology, trading under the ticker CSBR on NASDAQ, is starting to catch the eye of retail investors, but not without some skepticism. The stock's recent momentum, with a daily change rate of 1.06, suggests a mild uptick in interest. However, the valuation hype value of 4.59 compared to its real value of 5.43 indicates that the stock might be overvalued at current levels. Analysts have set a target price range between 7.96 and 9.71, with a consensus leaning towards a strong buy, yet the naive expected forecast value sits at a modest 4.45. This discrepancy raises questions about whether the enthusiasm is justified or if it's merely speculative. With a fiscal year ending in April, investors should keep an eye on upcoming financial reports, especially considering the company's last reported loss of 1.3K. While the potential upside price of 8.96 is enticing, the possible downside price of 0.0488 serves as a cautionary note for those considering jumping on the bandwagon. We primarily examine the price trends of Champions Oncology (NASDAQ: CSBR) and how they relate to various microeconomic factors. By using predictive analytics, we create daily price indicators for Champions Oncology and assess them alongside relevant influences. This analysis aims to provide a comprehensive overview of Champions Oncology, exploring its potential to become a consistent performer by January.
Published over two weeks ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Champions Oncology (NASDAQ: CSBR) is drawing attention from retail investors, with its recent price percent change of 5.86% signaling potential momentum in the biotechnology sector. Despite a maximum drawdown of 22.49, the stock's current price of 4.88 suggests that investors are intrigued by its potential upside of 6.56, indicating a growing interest in its future prospects.

Key Points

Champions Oncology currently holds a "Strong Buy" rating from one analyst. To enhance this expert consensus, we offer trading advice based on our advanced recommendation engine. This tool employs a sophisticated algorithm that evaluates the company's growth potential by examining all available technical and fundamental data.
The successful prediction of Champions Oncology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Champions Oncology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Champions Oncology based on Champions Oncology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Champions Oncology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Champions Oncology's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Champions expected Price

Champions Oncology technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Champions Oncology technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Champions Oncology trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Champions Oncology Gross Profit

Champions Oncology Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Champions Oncology previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Champions Oncology Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Champions Oncology's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Breaking down Champions Oncology Further

The latest price spike of Champions Oncology could raise concerns from retail investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 4.88 on 18,443 in volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in January. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 4.51. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not-so-good earnings reports for some of the Champions Oncology partners.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short Long Term Debt Total9.5M8.6M7.4M7.8M
Total Assets35.4M34.3M26.1M27.4M

Current Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Champions Oncology Current Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. Current Deferred Revenue is likely to grow to about 12.7 M this year. Current Deferred Revenue usually refers to revenue that has been collected but not yet earned, typically from prepaid service contracts or subscriptions. This amount is considered a liability until the service is provided or the subscription period ends. At this time, Champions Oncology's Current Deferred Revenue is relatively stable compared to the past year.
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
20174.7 Million
20184.02 Million
20195.82 Million
20206.26 Million
202111.07 Million
202212.78 Million
202312.09 Million
202412.7 Million
They say, "The trend is your friend," and Champions Oncology (NASDAQ: CSBR) might just be riding a wave of retail investor interest. Despite a challenging financial landscape, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03% and a return on equity at a loss of 4.32%, the company is garnering attention. With 49% of its shares owned by institutions, there's a notable foundation of institutional support, yet the stock's high price-to-earnings ratio of 220.00X suggests a premium valuation that might be driven by future growth expectations. Retail investors are likely intrigued by the potential upside, but the probability of bankruptcy at 41.59% is a reminder of the inherent risks in the biotechnology sector. As retail investors weigh these factors, the allure of Champions Oncology lies in its potential to capitalize on innovation within life sciences tools and services.

Our take on today Champions Oncology spike

Champions Oncology saw a significant jump today, but with the potential upside now capped at 6.56, it seems the stock's recent momentum might be waning. This could mean reduced volatility as the market settles around this new price. Investors should monitor the stock's behavior in the coming days, as this change might indicate a consolidation phase or a possible pullback. While the excitement of the surge is understandable, it's important to stay cautious and consider the broader market context before making any trading moves. Champions Oncology exhibits above-average downside volatility for the chosen time frame.
Understanding market volatility trends can help investors time their trades. Using volatility indicators effectively allows traders to assess the stock's risk against market fluctuations in both rising and falling markets.Despite today's modest market decline, Champions Oncology's robust performance suggests a compelling opportunity for investors. With an Analyst Overall Consensus rating of "Strong Buy" and a potential upside price reaching up to 8.96, the stock demonstrates significant promise. The highest estimated target price by analysts stands at 9.71, indicating confidence in its future growth. As the company continues to innovate and expand its oncology solutions, its valuation market value of 4.88 seems to provide a solid foundation for potential investors. While no investment is without risk, Champions Oncology's current trajectory and expert endorsements suggest it could be a rewarding addition to a diversified portfolio..

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