Ermenegildo Zegna Nv Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| ZGN Stock | USD 8.60 0.12 1.38% |
Ermenegildo | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Ermenegildo Zegna NV Company odds of distress Analysis
Ermenegildo Zegna's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Ermenegildo Zegna Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 1% |
Most of Ermenegildo Zegna's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Ermenegildo Zegna NV is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Ermenegildo Zegna probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Ermenegildo Zegna odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Ermenegildo Zegna NV financial health.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ermenegildo Zegna. If investors know Ermenegildo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ermenegildo Zegna listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 0.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Ermenegildo Zegna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ermenegildo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ermenegildo Zegna's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ermenegildo Zegna's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ermenegildo Zegna's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ermenegildo Zegna's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ermenegildo Zegna's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ermenegildo Zegna is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ermenegildo Zegna's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ermenegildo Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Ermenegildo Zegna is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ermenegildo Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Ermenegildo Zegna's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Ermenegildo Zegna's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Ermenegildo Zegna's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Ermenegildo Zegna NV has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.58% lower than that of the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector and 96.21% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.
Ermenegildo Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Ermenegildo Zegna's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Ermenegildo Zegna could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ermenegildo Zegna by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Ermenegildo Zegna is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Ermenegildo Zegna Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.0193) | (0.0519) | 0.0212 | 0.0439 | 0.0395 | 0.0415 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.71 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.5 | 0.64 | 0.74 | |
| Net Debt | 759.4M | 607.2M | 660.2M | 700.1M | 630.1M | 632.2M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 535.5M | 702.3M | 867.0M | 1.0B | 1.2B | 801.7M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 1.2B | 1.1B | 827.4M | 854.0M | 768.6M | 899.9M | |
| Total Assets | 2.4B | 2.5B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 2.5B | 2.1B | |
| Total Current Assets | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.3B | 1.2B | 1.0B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 70.9M | 281.2M | 146.4M | 275.4M | 316.7M | 209.1M |
Ermenegildo Zegna ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ermenegildo Zegna's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ermenegildo Zegna's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Ermenegildo Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0415 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.89 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 252.42 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 74.54 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 20.14 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.08 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 7.61 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.42 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.12 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.9 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 772.21 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 392.95 M | ||||
| Net Income | 135.66 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 668.65 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.75 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 996.35 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.50 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.36 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.38 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 275.38 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.52 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.42 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.83 X | ||||
| Target Price | 10.61 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 7.45 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.66 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.9 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.77 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 640.99 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 275.51 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 2.77 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.12 |
About Ermenegildo Zegna Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ermenegildo Zegna NV's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ermenegildo Zegna using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ermenegildo Zegna NV based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Ermenegildo Zegna
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ermenegildo Zegna position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ermenegildo Zegna will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Ermenegildo Stock
Moving against Ermenegildo Stock
| 0.63 | DOGZ | Dogness International Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | WTO | UTime Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | PVH | PVH Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | UHG | United Homes Group | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ermenegildo Zegna could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ermenegildo Zegna when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ermenegildo Zegna - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ermenegildo Zegna NV to buy it.
The correlation of Ermenegildo Zegna is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ermenegildo Zegna moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ermenegildo Zegna moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ermenegildo Zegna can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Ermenegildo Zegna Piotroski F Score and Ermenegildo Zegna Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ermenegildo Zegna. If investors know Ermenegildo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ermenegildo Zegna listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 0.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Ermenegildo Zegna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ermenegildo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ermenegildo Zegna's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ermenegildo Zegna's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ermenegildo Zegna's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ermenegildo Zegna's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ermenegildo Zegna's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ermenegildo Zegna is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ermenegildo Zegna's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.