Vanguard Natural Resources Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
Vanguard Natural's likelihood of distress is above 80% at this time. It has very high risk of going through financial straits in the upcoming years. Vanguard Natural's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Vanguard Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Vanguard balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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Vanguard Natural Resources Company probability of distress Analysis
Vanguard Natural's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Vanguard Natural Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 100% |
Most of Vanguard Natural's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vanguard Natural Resources is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Vanguard Natural probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vanguard Natural odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vanguard Natural Resources financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
CompetitionBased on the latest financial disclosure, Vanguard Natural Resources has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 100%. This is much higher than that of the sector and significantly higher than that of the Probability Of Bankruptcy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is notably lower than that of the firm.
Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Vanguard Natural's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard Natural could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Natural by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Vanguard Natural is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Vanguard Fundamentals
| Return On Asset | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Profit Margin | (2.96) % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 2.26 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 96.47 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 10.38 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 11.40 % | |||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.08 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 47.20 X | |||
| Price To Book | 2.16 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.34 X | |||
| Revenue | 566.64 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 379.41 M | |||
| Net Income | (1.88 B) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 11.82 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.30 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.28 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | (31.83) % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 370.08 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (9.09) X | |||
| Number Of Employees | 381 | |||
| Beta | 1.43 | |||
| Total Asset | 2.7 B | |||
| Working Capital | 156.51 M | |||
| Current Asset | 358.52 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 202.01 M |
Pair Trading with Vanguard Natural
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vanguard Natural position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Natural will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Tenet Healthcare could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Tenet Healthcare when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Tenet Healthcare - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Tenet Healthcare to buy it.
The correlation of Tenet Healthcare is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Tenet Healthcare moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Tenet Healthcare moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Tenet Healthcare can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Other Consideration for investing in Vanguard Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Vanguard Natural Res check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vanguard Natural's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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