Smith Midland Corp Stock Beneish M Score

SMID Stock  USD 49.10  0.70  1.45%   
This module uses fundamental data of Smith Midland to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Smith Midland M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Smith Midland Piotroski F Score and Smith Midland Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Smith Midland's Short and Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Interest Debt Per Share is expected to grow to 1.22, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (3.2 M). At present, Smith Midland's Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's PTB Ratio is expected to grow to 6.38, whereas Average Payables is forecasted to decline to about 2 M.
At this time, it appears that Smith Midland Corp is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Smith Midland's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Smith Midland executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Smith Midland's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.37
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.98

Focus
Asset Quality

0.88

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.33

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.4

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.33

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.53

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.03

Focus

Smith Midland Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Smith Midland's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables18.6 M17.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue31.5 M59.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets64.4 M61.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets35 M33.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total29.4 M28 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment30.3 M28.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative4.2 MM
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities16.8 M16 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total5.6 M11.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt599.8 K722 K
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt4.1 M5.1 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.250.1788
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable

Smith Midland Corp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Smith Midland's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Smith Midland in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Smith Midland's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Smith Midland Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

2.5 Million

At present, Smith Midland's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Smith Midland Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Smith Midland. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables13.5M10.5M10.9M17.7M17.7M18.6M
Total Revenue46.7M43.9M50.6M50.1M59.6M31.5M
Total Assets42.1M46.5M53.3M54.3M61.3M64.4M
Total Current Assets19.0M23.3M27.8M28.9M33.3M35.0M
Net Debt4.0M(840K)(9.1M)(256K)(3.4M)(3.2M)
Short Term Debt1.0M910K551K772K722K599.8K
Long Term Debt4.1M6.9M3.7M5.7M5.1M4.1M
Operating Income2.5M3.8M6.2M854K1.1M1.5M
Investments(390K)(2.4M)(3.7M)(2.6M)(4.8M)(4.5M)

Smith Midland ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Smith Midland's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Smith Midland's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Smith Midland Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Smith Midland Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Smith Midland using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smith Midland Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Smith Midland Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Smith Midland's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Smith Midland's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Smith Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Smith Midland Piotroski F Score and Smith Midland Altman Z Score analysis.
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Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith Midland. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smith Midland listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
12.798
Earnings Share
1.22
Revenue Per Share
12.943
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.336
Return On Assets
0.065
The market value of Smith Midland Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smith that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smith Midland's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smith Midland's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smith Midland's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smith Midland's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smith Midland's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smith Midland is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smith Midland's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.