Pennymac Mortgage Investment Stock Beneish M Score

PMT Stock  USD 14.76  0.12  0.82%   
This module uses fundamental data of PennyMac Mortgage to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. PennyMac Mortgage M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out PennyMac Mortgage Piotroski F Score and PennyMac Mortgage Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, PennyMac Mortgage's Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. At this time, PennyMac Mortgage's Net Income Per Share is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Days Of Inventory On Hand is likely to gain to 34.39 in 2025, whereas Book Value Per Share is likely to drop 18.05 in 2025.
At this time, it appears that PennyMac Mortgage is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if PennyMac Mortgage's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by PennyMac Mortgage executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of PennyMac Mortgage's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.94
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.89

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.93

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.99

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.93

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.95

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.86

Focus

PennyMac Mortgage Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if PennyMac Mortgage's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables47 M49.5 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue14 M14.7 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Assets8.1 B14.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets320.8 M337.7 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total8.4 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General AdministrativeM5.6 M
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities4.1 B3.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total9.2 B8.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt3.3 B3.5 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments106.5 M103.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments2.7 B4.2 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable

PennyMac Mortgage Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between PennyMac Mortgage's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards PennyMac Mortgage in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find PennyMac Mortgage's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About PennyMac Mortgage Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Operating Expenses

5.33 Million

At this time, PennyMac Mortgage's Total Operating Expenses is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

PennyMac Mortgage Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as PennyMac Mortgage. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables139.9M16.0M66.9M65.5M49.5M47.0M
Total Revenue108.6M82.8M103.1M725.9M14.7M14.0M
Total Assets11.5B13.8B13.9B13.1B14.4B8.1B
Total Current Assets3.1B1.9B364.1M474.9M337.7M320.8M
Net Debt(583.6M)2.7B3.3B10.2B3.2B3.4B
Short Term Debt1.9B2.5B2.8B8.5B3.5B3.3B
Long Term Debt2.1B4.5B4.8B4.8B5.6B5.9B
Operating Income79.7M44.7M47.9M558.2M(3.7M)(3.5M)
Investments(15.4M)(40.7M)(1.9B)(464.3M)1.4B1.4B
Gross Profit Margin0.26(1.1)(1.29)0.250.830.13

PennyMac Mortgage ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, PennyMac Mortgage's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to PennyMac Mortgage's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About PennyMac Mortgage Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze PennyMac Mortgage Investment's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of PennyMac Mortgage using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of PennyMac Mortgage Investment based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for PennyMac Stock Analysis

When running PennyMac Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure PennyMac Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PennyMac Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of PennyMac Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PennyMac Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PennyMac Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PennyMac Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.