Pak Gulf Leasing Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

PGLC Stock   15.00  0.60  3.85%   
Pak Gulf's likelihood of distress is under 10% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial trouble in the near future. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Pak balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Pak Gulf Leasing. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  

Pak Gulf Leasing Company chance of distress Analysis

Pak Gulf's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Pak Gulf Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 10%  
Most of Pak Gulf's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Pak Gulf Leasing is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Pak Gulf probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Pak Gulf odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Pak Gulf Leasing financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pak Gulf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pak Gulf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pak Gulf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Pak Gulf Leasing has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 10.0%. This is much higher than that of the sector and significantly higher than that of the Banking Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Pakistan stocks is notably lower than that of the firm.

Pak Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Pak Gulf's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Pak Gulf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pak Gulf by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Pak Gulf is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

About Pak Gulf Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Pak Gulf Leasing's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Pak Gulf using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pak Gulf Leasing based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Pak Gulf

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Pak Gulf position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Pak Gulf will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Pak Stock

  0.62BAFL Bank AlfalahPairCorr

Moving against Pak Stock

  0.36NBP National BankPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Pak Gulf could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Pak Gulf when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Pak Gulf - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Pak Gulf Leasing to buy it.
The correlation of Pak Gulf is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Pak Gulf moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Pak Gulf Leasing moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Pak Gulf can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Pak Stock

Pak Gulf financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pak Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pak with respect to the benefits of owning Pak Gulf security.