Oreilly Automotive Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ORLY Stock

USD 1,247 3.60 0.29%

OReilly Automotive's likelihood of distress is under 11% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the OReilly balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out OReilly Automotive Piotroski F Score and OReilly Automotive Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy OReilly Stock please use our How to Invest in OReilly Automotive guide.

Market Cap is likely to rise to about 25.1 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to rise to about 26.8 B in 2024

OReilly Automotive Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

OReilly Automotive's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current OReilly Automotive Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 11%

Most of OReilly Automotive's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, OReilly Automotive is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of OReilly Automotive probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting OReilly Automotive odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of OReilly Automotive financial health.

Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OReilly Automotive. If investors know OReilly will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OReilly Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.064

Earnings Share

40.4

Revenue Per Share

280.063

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.038

Return On Assets

0.1437

The market value of OReilly Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OReilly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OReilly Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OReilly Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OReilly Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OReilly Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between OReilly Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OReilly Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OReilly Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

OReilly Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for OReilly Automotive is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of OReilly Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since OReilly Automotive's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of OReilly Automotive's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of OReilly Automotive's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Accumulated Depreciation	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		-0.7	0.95	-0.83	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.99	-0.01	-0.25	0.96	0.96	0.08	0.76	-0.23	-0.74	0.81	0.77	-0.43	0.67	-0.81	0.72	-0.02	-0.85	-0.86
Total Stockholder Equity	-0.7		-0.86	0.98	-0.78	-0.72	-0.83	-0.62	0.05	0.75	-0.84	-0.78	0.22	-0.13	0.46	0.72	-0.68	-0.73	0.56	-0.76	0.62	-0.67	0.13	0.86	0.85
Net Debt	0.95	-0.86		-0.94	0.95	0.91	0.99	0.9	-0.05	-0.49	0.98	0.93	0.03	0.58	-0.35	-0.71	0.86	0.78	-0.42	0.8	-0.82	0.78	0.05	-0.88	-0.88
Retained Earnings	-0.83	0.98	-0.94		-0.89	-0.85	-0.92	-0.77	-0.01	0.66	-0.93	-0.88	0.13	-0.34	0.44	0.79	-0.78	-0.81	0.55	-0.79	0.74	-0.76	0.11	0.9	0.89
Accounts Payable	0.98	-0.78	0.95	-0.89		0.98	0.98	0.97	0.06	-0.35	0.96	0.98	0.04	0.68	-0.29	-0.84	0.8	0.81	-0.54	0.69	-0.83	0.74	-0.15	-0.89	-0.89
Net Receivables	0.97	-0.72	0.91	-0.85	0.98		0.96	0.97	0.08	-0.24	0.93	0.98	-0.03	0.7	-0.2	-0.85	0.74	0.8	-0.57	0.63	-0.77	0.69	-0.21	-0.89	-0.89
Total Liab	0.98	-0.83	0.99	-0.92	0.98	0.96		0.95	-0.02	-0.4	0.98	0.97	0.0	0.63	-0.31	-0.78	0.82	0.8	-0.49	0.73	-0.81	0.75	-0.05	-0.91	-0.91
Total Current Assets	0.99	-0.62	0.9	-0.77	0.97	0.97	0.95		0.04	-0.15	0.92	0.95	0.1	0.82	-0.2	-0.77	0.77	0.74	-0.42	0.6	-0.8	0.69	-0.08	-0.8	-0.81
Short Term Debt	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.04		-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.26	0.13	0.03	-0.14	0.11	0.31	0.09	0.13	-0.28	0.36	-0.06	0.19	0.19
Common Stock	-0.25	0.75	-0.49	0.66	-0.35	-0.24	-0.4	-0.15	-0.02		-0.43	-0.32	-0.09	0.2	0.47	0.32	-0.58	-0.53	0.24	-0.79	0.44	-0.61	-0.25	0.46	0.39
Long Term Debt	0.96	-0.84	0.98	-0.93	0.96	0.93	0.98	0.92	0.03	-0.43		0.94	0.03	0.63	-0.36	-0.76	0.86	0.8	-0.4	0.77	-0.85	0.81	0.01	-0.84	-0.85
Property Plant Equipment	0.96	-0.78	0.93	-0.88	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.95	-0.01	-0.32	0.94		-0.05	0.63	-0.24	-0.87	0.74	0.79	-0.65	0.64	-0.74	0.67	-0.21	-0.93	-0.93
Current Deferred Revenue	0.08	0.22	0.03	0.13	0.04	-0.03	0.0	0.1	0.26	-0.09	0.03	-0.05		0.4	-0.09	0.15	0.38	0.02	0.43	0.28	-0.46	0.39	0.54	0.26	0.27
Good Will	0.76	-0.13	0.58	-0.34	0.68	0.7	0.63	0.82	0.13	0.2	0.63	0.63	0.4		-0.05	-0.45	0.66	0.46	-0.04	0.38	-0.7	0.56	0.17	-0.38	-0.36
Intangible Assets	-0.23	0.46	-0.35	0.44	-0.29	-0.2	-0.31	-0.2	0.03	0.47	-0.36	-0.24	-0.09	-0.05		0.29	-0.4	-0.2	0.08	-0.4	0.36	-0.3	-0.09	0.23	0.22
Net Tangible Assets	-0.74	0.72	-0.71	0.79	-0.84	-0.85	-0.78	-0.77	-0.14	0.32	-0.76	-0.87	0.15	-0.45	0.29		-0.58	-0.68	0.79	-0.5	0.62	-0.58	0.49	0.82	0.78
Long Term Debt Total	0.81	-0.68	0.86	-0.78	0.8	0.74	0.82	0.77	0.11	-0.58	0.86	0.74	0.38	0.66	-0.4	-0.58		0.74	-0.14	0.92	-0.91	0.94	0.39	-0.63	-0.58
Capital Surpluse	0.77	-0.73	0.78	-0.81	0.81	0.8	0.8	0.74	0.31	-0.53	0.8	0.79	0.02	0.46	-0.2	-0.68	0.74		-0.41	0.76	-0.75	0.8	0.05	-0.7	-0.68
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.43	0.56	-0.42	0.55	-0.54	-0.57	-0.49	-0.42	0.09	0.24	-0.4	-0.65	0.43	-0.04	0.08	0.79	-0.14	-0.41		-0.19	0.12	-0.13	0.68	0.75	0.72
Long Term Investments	0.67	-0.76	0.8	-0.79	0.69	0.63	0.73	0.6	0.13	-0.79	0.77	0.64	0.28	0.38	-0.4	-0.5	0.92	0.76	-0.19		-0.81	0.91	0.39	-0.62	-0.56
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.81	0.62	-0.82	0.74	-0.83	-0.77	-0.81	-0.8	-0.28	0.44	-0.85	-0.74	-0.46	-0.7	0.36	0.62	-0.91	-0.75	0.12	-0.81		-0.93	-0.2	0.56	0.54
Short Long Term Debt	0.72	-0.67	0.78	-0.76	0.74	0.69	0.75	0.69	0.36	-0.61	0.81	0.67	0.39	0.56	-0.3	-0.58	0.94	0.8	-0.13	0.91	-0.93		0.32	-0.54	-0.5
Net Invested Capital	-0.02	0.13	0.05	0.11	-0.15	-0.21	-0.05	-0.08	-0.06	-0.25	0.01	-0.21	0.54	0.17	-0.09	0.49	0.39	0.05	0.68	0.39	-0.2	0.32		0.28	0.3
Net Working Capital	-0.85	0.86	-0.88	0.9	-0.89	-0.89	-0.91	-0.8	0.19	0.46	-0.84	-0.93	0.26	-0.38	0.23	0.82	-0.63	-0.7	0.75	-0.62	0.56	-0.54	0.28		0.98
Capital Stock	-0.86	0.85	-0.88	0.89	-0.89	-0.89	-0.91	-0.81	0.19	0.39	-0.85	-0.93	0.27	-0.36	0.22	0.78	-0.58	-0.68	0.72	-0.56	0.54	-0.5	0.3	0.98

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict OReilly Automotive

Based on the latest financial disclosure, OReilly Automotive has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 11.0%. This is 73.42% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and 58.99% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 72.38% higher than that of the company.

OReilly Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses OReilly Automotive's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of OReilly Automotive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OReilly Automotive by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

OReilly Automotive is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

OReilly Automotive Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.15	0.17	0.13	0.18	0.16	0.088
Net Debt	5.8B	5.7B	5.5B	6.4B	7.6B	7.9B
Total Current Liabilities	4.5B	5.3B	5.9B	7.1B	7.7B	8.0B
Non Current Liabilities Total	5.9B	6.2B	5.9B	6.6B	8.7B	9.1B
Total Assets	10.7B	11.6B	11.7B	12.6B	14.6B	15.3B
Total Current Assets	3.8B	4.5B	4.5B	5.0B	5.6B	5.8B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	1.7B	2.8B	3.2B	3.1B	3.0B	3.2B

OReilly Automotive ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, OReilly Automotive's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to OReilly Automotive's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

OReilly Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.59
	Return On Asset	0.14
	Profit Margin	0.15 %
	Operating Margin	0.21 %
	Current Valuation	79.36 B
	Shares Outstanding	57.73 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.88 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	88.88 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	890.64 K
	Price To Earning	25.98 X
	Price To Book	210.18 X
	Price To Sales	4.36 X
	Revenue	15.81 B
	Gross Profit	7.38 B
	EBITDA	3.19 B
	Net Income	2.35 B
	Cash And Equivalents	67.06 M
	Cash Per Share	1.07 X
	Total Debt	7.84 B
	Current Ratio	0.70 X
	Book Value Per Share	(24.88) X
	Cash Flow From Operations	3.03 B
	Short Ratio	2.48 X
	Earnings Per Share	40.40 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.96 X
	Target Price	1263.14
	Number Of Employees	92.71 K
	Beta	0.92
	Market Capitalization	71.77 B
	Total Asset	14.6 B
	Retained Earnings	(3.13 B)
	Working Capital	(2.1 B)
	Current Asset	631.04 M
	Current Liabilities	147.42 M
	Net Asset	14.6 B

About OReilly Automotive Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze OReilly Automotive's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of OReilly Automotive using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of OReilly Automotive based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Oreilly Automotive Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

OReilly Automotive Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current OReilly Automotive Probability Of Bankruptcy

OReilly Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

OReilly Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

OReilly Automotive Main Bankruptcy Drivers

OReilly Automotive ESG Sustainability

OReilly Fundamentals

About OReilly Automotive Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for OReilly Stock Analysis

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