Northern Trust Stock Beneish M Score

NTRS Stock  USD 99.46  2.76  2.70%   
This module uses fundamental data of Northern Trust to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Northern Trust M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Northern Trust Piotroski F Score and Northern Trust Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Northern Stock please use our How to Invest in Northern Trust guide.
  
At this time, Northern Trust's Long Term Debt is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Debt To Equity is likely to gain to 1.14 in 2025, despite the fact that Net Debt is likely to grow to (26 B). At this time, Northern Trust's Net Income Per Share is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Capex To Revenue is likely to gain to 0.12 in 2025, whereas Free Cash Flow Yield is likely to drop 0.08 in 2025.
At this time, it appears that Northern Trust is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Northern Trust's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Northern Trust executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Northern Trust's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
4.53
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.9

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.82

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

-21.03

Focus

Northern Trust Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Northern Trust's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables232.3 M244.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue8.2 B7.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets182.1 B173.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets869.1 M914.8 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Property Plant Equipment1.2 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization766.3 M729.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative3.4 B3.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities51.1 B26.3 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total167.7 B159.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt3.6 B4.4 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt16.2 B15.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income995.8 M1.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments13.5 B11.6 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments54 B56.7 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.730.89
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Northern Trust Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Northern Trust's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Northern Trust in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Northern Trust's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Northern Trust Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

766.28 Million

At this time, Northern Trust's Depreciation And Amortization is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Northern Trust Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Northern Trust. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables1.2B1.9B1.7B212.6M244.5M232.3M
Total Revenue6.0B6.5B6.7B6.8B7.8B8.2B
Total Assets170.0B183.9B155.0B150.8B173.4B182.1B
Total Current Assets84.6B85.2B8.3B795.5M914.8M869.1M
Net Debt4.2B4.2B7.7B(23.8B)(27.4B)(26.0B)
Short Term Debt4.9B499.8M10.1B3.8B4.4B3.6B
Long Term Debt8.3B7.2B12.4B13.4B15.4B16.2B
Operating Income1.6B2.0B2.3B1.5B1.7B995.8M
Investments(8.5B)(1.3B)25.9B13.8B15.9B16.7B

Northern Trust ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Northern Trust's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Northern Trust's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Northern Trust Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Northern Trust's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Northern Trust using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northern Trust based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Northern Stock Analysis

When running Northern Trust's price analysis, check to measure Northern Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.