Morgan Stanley Mortgage Fund Chance Of Distress

MORGX Fund  USD 7.65  0.01  0.13%   
Morgan Stanley's odds of distress is under 22% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Morgan Stanley Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more information on how to buy Morgan Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Morgan Stanley guide.
  

Morgan Stanley Mortgage Mutual Fund chance of distress Analysis

Morgan Stanley's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Morgan Stanley Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 22%  
Most of Morgan Stanley's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Morgan Stanley Mortgage is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Morgan Stanley probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Morgan Stanley odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Morgan Stanley Mortgage financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Morgan Stanley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Morgan Stanley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Morgan Stanley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Morgan Stanley Mortgage has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 22.0%. This is much higher than that of the Morgan Stanley family and significantly higher than that of the Intermediate Core-Plus Bond category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Morgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Morgan Stanley's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Morgan Stanley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Morgan Stanley by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Morgan Stanley is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

Morgan Fundamentals

About Morgan Stanley Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Morgan Stanley Mortgage's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Morgan Stanley using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Morgan Stanley Mortgage based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Morgan Mutual Fund

Morgan Stanley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morgan with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Stanley security.
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