Moog Inc Stock Beneish M Score

MOG-A Stock  USD 175.17  1.51  0.85%   
This module uses fundamental data of Moog to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Moog M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Moog Piotroski F Score and Moog Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Moog's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short Term Debt is expected to grow to about 135.6 M, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 533.9 M. At present, Moog's Days Sales Outstanding is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Book Value Per Share is expected to grow to 53.97, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.58.
At this time, it appears that Moog Inc is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Moog's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Moog executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Moog's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.9
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.25

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.27

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.68

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Moog Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Moog's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.4 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue4.4 B4.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets4.9 B4.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets2.6 B2.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total2.4 B2.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment682.3 MB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative597.6 M569.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.2 B1.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt981 M934.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt135.6 M129.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt714.7 M786.7 M
Moderately Down
Very volatile
Operating Income470 M447.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities123.5 M232.7 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Long Term Investments223.3 K370.3 K
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.340.2686
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable

Moog Inc Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Moog's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Moog in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Moog's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Moog Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

112.43 Million

At present, Moog's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Moog Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Moog. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables945.9M990.3M1.1B1.1B1.3B1.4B
Total Revenue2.9B3.0B3.3B3.6B4.2B4.4B
Total Assets3.4B3.4B3.8B4.1B4.7B4.9B
Total Current Assets1.7B1.8B2.0B2.1B2.5B2.6B
Net Debt804.1M733.9M794.1M812.4M934.3M981.0M
Short Term Debt80.4M916K16.9M112.3M129.1M135.6M
Long Term Debt823.4M836.9M863.1M874.1M786.7M714.7M
Operating Income239.2M261.6M315.1M389.3M447.6M470.0M
Investments(191.2M)(83.3M)(163.1M)(159.6M)(143.7M)(150.8M)

About Moog Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Moog Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Moog using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moog Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Moog Stock

Moog financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moog Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moog with respect to the benefits of owning Moog security.