Lightpath Technologies Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| LPTH Stock | USD 1.66 0.01 0.61% |
LightPath | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
LightPath Technologies Company probability of distress Analysis
LightPath Technologies' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current LightPath Technologies Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 52% |
Most of LightPath Technologies' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, LightPath Technologies is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of LightPath Technologies probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting LightPath Technologies odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of LightPath Technologies financial health.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LightPath Technologies. If investors know LightPath will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LightPath Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 49.113 | Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share 0.833 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of LightPath Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LightPath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LightPath Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LightPath Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LightPath Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LightPath Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LightPath Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LightPath Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LightPath Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
LightPath Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for LightPath Technologies is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of LightPath Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since LightPath Technologies' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of LightPath Technologies' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of LightPath Technologies' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, LightPath Technologies has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 52%. This is 28.52% higher than that of the Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector and 10.8% higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 30.55% lower than that of the firm.
LightPath Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses LightPath Technologies' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of LightPath Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LightPath Technologies by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.LightPath Technologies is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
LightPath Technologies Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.0225 | (0.0583) | 0.0182 | (0.0698) | (0.0756) | (0.17) | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.7 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.68 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.4 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.41 | |
| Net Debt | 2.2M | 7.5M | 9.2M | 7.7M | 6.9M | 7.2M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 7.4M | 8.4M | 7.7M | 6.8M | 8.0M | 8.4M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 5.6M | 12.6M | 13.2M | 10.8M | 9.9M | 10.3M | |
| Total Assets | 47.6M | 54.6M | 50.7M | 53.5M | 48.1M | 28.9M | |
| Total Current Assets | 21.3M | 20.7M | 18.2M | 21.8M | 15.5M | 14.2M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 3.7M | 4.7M | 1.5M | (2.8M) | 521.0K | 547.1K |
LightPath Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.26 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0944 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.26) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 74.35 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 39.66 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.70 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.80 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 48.38 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 25.96 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.24 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.05 X | ||||
| Revenue | 31.73 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 11.07 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (3.7 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (8.01 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.51 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.20 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 10.36 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.49 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.35 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.74 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 521.04 K | ||||
| Short Ratio | 1.00 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.21) X | ||||
| Target Price | 3.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 304 | ||||
| Beta | 1.3 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 65.84 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 48.09 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (215.84 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 7.5 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 18.67 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 4.53 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 48.09 M |
About LightPath Technologies Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze LightPath Technologies's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of LightPath Technologies using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of LightPath Technologies based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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When determining whether LightPath Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of LightPath Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lightpath Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lightpath Technologies Stock:Check out LightPath Technologies Piotroski F Score and LightPath Technologies Altman Z Score analysis. For more detail on how to invest in LightPath Stock please use our How to Invest in LightPath Technologies guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LightPath Technologies. If investors know LightPath will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LightPath Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 49.113 | Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share 0.833 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of LightPath Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LightPath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LightPath Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LightPath Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LightPath Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LightPath Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LightPath Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LightPath Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LightPath Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.