Kaiser Aluminum Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

KALU Stock

USD 70.76 0.54 0.76%

Kaiser Aluminum's risk of distress is below 1% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial straits in the next two years. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Kaiser Aluminum's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Kaiser balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Kaiser Aluminum Piotroski F Score and Kaiser Aluminum Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Kaiser Stock please use our How to Invest in Kaiser Aluminum guide.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 2 B in 2025. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 2.4 B in 2025

Kaiser Aluminum Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Kaiser Aluminum's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Kaiser Aluminum Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 1%

Most of Kaiser Aluminum's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Kaiser Aluminum is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Kaiser Aluminum probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Kaiser Aluminum odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Kaiser Aluminum financial health.

Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kaiser Aluminum. If investors know Kaiser will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kaiser Aluminum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.06)

Dividend Share

3.08

Earnings Share

2.87

Revenue Per Share

188.188

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.061

The market value of Kaiser Aluminum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kaiser that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kaiser Aluminum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kaiser Aluminum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kaiser Aluminum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kaiser Aluminum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kaiser Aluminum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kaiser Aluminum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kaiser Aluminum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kaiser Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Kaiser Aluminum is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Kaiser Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Kaiser Aluminum's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Kaiser Aluminum's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Kaiser Aluminum's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Short Term Debt	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		-0.38	0.63	-0.12	0.79	0.8	0.9	0.86	0.14	-0.22	0.18	0.81	0.83	-0.4	0.59	-0.32	-0.32	0.64	0.42	0.38	0.3	0.74	0.42	-0.06
Total Stockholder Equity	-0.38		-0.51	0.36	-0.63	-0.54	-0.69	-0.34	-0.59	0.17	-0.45	-0.65	-0.8	0.66	0.04	0.32	0.57	-0.31	-0.25	-0.28	-0.42	-0.4	-0.26	0.15
Net Debt	0.63	-0.51		-0.14	0.61	0.63	0.62	0.47	0.22	-0.07	0.28	0.49	0.65	-0.36	0.41	-0.22	-0.26	0.22	-0.13	0.1	0.2	0.35	0.08	0.37
Retained Earnings	-0.12	0.36	-0.14		-0.48	-0.47	-0.3	-0.09	0.17	0.18	0.42	-0.41	-0.33	0.16	-0.45	0.47	0.78	-0.59	-0.59	-0.23	-0.5	-0.57	-0.18	0.43
Accounts Payable	0.79	-0.63	0.61	-0.48		0.9	0.92	0.7	0.29	-0.24	0.08	0.89	0.84	-0.34	0.63	-0.49	-0.64	0.77	0.54	0.36	0.44	0.82	0.39	-0.4
Net Receivables	0.8	-0.54	0.63	-0.47	0.9		0.83	0.73	-0.04	-0.22	-0.13	0.8	0.85	-0.33	0.73	-0.67	-0.74	0.77	0.63	0.45	0.66	0.81	0.35	-0.19
Total Liab	0.9	-0.69	0.62	-0.3	0.92	0.83		0.8	0.41	-0.25	0.28	0.96	0.92	-0.56	0.44	-0.4	-0.51	0.73	0.5	0.4	0.39	0.8	0.48	-0.31
Total Current Assets	0.86	-0.34	0.47	-0.09	0.7	0.73	0.8		-0.01	-0.15	-0.08	0.8	0.67	-0.4	0.55	-0.61	-0.45	0.75	0.46	0.73	0.52	0.82	0.75	-0.1
Common Stock	0.14	-0.59	0.22	0.17	0.29	-0.04	0.41	-0.01		-0.07	0.86	0.36	0.36	-0.42	-0.48	0.37	0.21	-0.1	-0.2	-0.26	-0.32	-0.09	-0.05	-0.28
Short Term Debt	-0.22	0.17	-0.07	0.18	-0.24	-0.22	-0.25	-0.15	-0.07		-0.06	-0.29	-0.21	-0.15	-0.24	0.11	0.2	-0.26	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.31	-0.26	0.13
Current Deferred Revenue	0.18	-0.45	0.28	0.42	0.08	-0.13	0.28	-0.08	0.86	-0.06		0.14	0.34	-0.35	-0.52	0.58	0.44	-0.38	-0.41	-0.37	-0.46	-0.31	-0.25	0.13
Long Term Debt	0.81	-0.65	0.49	-0.41	0.89	0.8	0.96	0.8	0.36	-0.29	0.14		0.84	-0.58	0.42	-0.53	-0.59	0.85	0.6	0.51	0.5	0.87	0.61	-0.46
Property Plant Equipment	0.83	-0.8	0.65	-0.33	0.84	0.85	0.92	0.67	0.36	-0.21	0.34	0.84		-0.59	0.35	-0.39	-0.56	0.56	0.49	0.32	0.47	0.66	0.28	-0.14
Good Will	-0.4	0.66	-0.36	0.16	-0.34	-0.33	-0.56	-0.4	-0.42	-0.15	-0.35	-0.58	-0.59		0.19	0.26	0.31	-0.32	-0.25	-0.23	-0.32	-0.37	-0.35	0.12
Intangible Assets	0.59	0.04	0.41	-0.45	0.63	0.73	0.44	0.55	-0.48	-0.24	-0.52	0.42	0.35	0.19		-0.5	-0.52	0.64	0.42	0.37	0.37	0.7	0.31	-0.05
Treasury Stock	-0.32	0.32	-0.22	0.47	-0.49	-0.67	-0.4	-0.61	0.37	0.11	0.58	-0.53	-0.39	0.26	-0.5		0.85	-0.74	-0.65	-0.78	-0.9	-0.72	-0.62	0.22
Net Tangible Assets	-0.32	0.57	-0.26	0.78	-0.64	-0.74	-0.51	-0.45	0.21	0.2	0.44	-0.59	-0.56	0.31	-0.52	0.85		-0.74	-0.73	-0.61	-0.84	-0.75	-0.47	0.35
Long Term Debt Total	0.64	-0.31	0.22	-0.59	0.77	0.77	0.73	0.75	-0.1	-0.26	-0.38	0.85	0.56	-0.32	0.64	-0.74	-0.74		0.82	0.62	0.66	0.96	0.67	-0.59
Capital Surpluse	0.42	-0.25	-0.13	-0.59	0.54	0.63	0.5	0.46	-0.2	-0.14	-0.41	0.6	0.49	-0.25	0.42	-0.65	-0.73	0.82		0.43	0.68	0.73	0.36	-0.68
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.38	-0.28	0.1	-0.23	0.36	0.45	0.4	0.73	-0.26	-0.14	-0.37	0.51	0.32	-0.23	0.37	-0.78	-0.61	0.62	0.43		0.71	0.68	0.89	-0.06
Short Long Term Debt	0.3	-0.42	0.2	-0.5	0.44	0.66	0.39	0.52	-0.32	-0.03	-0.46	0.5	0.47	-0.32	0.37	-0.9	-0.84	0.66	0.68	0.71		0.61	0.47	-0.18
Net Invested Capital	0.74	-0.4	0.35	-0.57	0.82	0.81	0.8	0.82	-0.09	-0.31	-0.31	0.87	0.66	-0.37	0.7	-0.72	-0.75	0.96	0.73	0.68	0.61		0.73	-0.44
Net Working Capital	0.42	-0.26	0.08	-0.18	0.39	0.35	0.48	0.75	-0.05	-0.26	-0.25	0.61	0.28	-0.35	0.31	-0.62	-0.47	0.67	0.36	0.89	0.47	0.73		-0.23
Capital Stock	-0.06	0.15	0.37	0.43	-0.4	-0.19	-0.31	-0.1	-0.28	0.13	0.13	-0.46	-0.14	0.12	-0.05	0.22	0.35	-0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-0.18	-0.44	-0.23

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Kaiser Aluminum

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Kaiser Aluminum has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.74% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 97.5% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Kaiser Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Kaiser Aluminum's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Kaiser Aluminum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaiser Aluminum by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Kaiser Aluminum is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Kaiser Aluminum Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0154	(0.007637)	(0.0129)	0.0208	0.0202	0.0212
Asset Turnover	0.63	1.08	1.5	1.36	1.31	0.72
Net Debt	83.4M	773.9M	1.0B	996.7M	6.8M	6.5M
Total Current Liabilities	158.3M	456.7M	418.7M	370M	400.6M	291.3M
Non Current Liabilities Total	974M	1.3B	1.2B	1.2B	1.2B	1.1B
Total Assets	1.9B	2.4B	2.3B	2.3B	2.3B	1.6B
Total Current Assets	1.1B	1.2B	1.0B	990.2M	976.4M	805.8M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	206.9M	79.4M	(63.1M)	211.9M	167.1M	103.1M

Kaiser Aluminum ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Kaiser Aluminum's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Kaiser Aluminum's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Kaiser Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0709
	Return On Asset	0.0249
	Profit Margin	0.02 %
	Operating Margin	0.03 %
	Current Valuation	2.19 B
	Shares Outstanding	16.1 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.85 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	97.37 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	465.59 K
	Price To Earning	297.18 X
	Price To Book	1.70 X
	Price To Sales	0.38 X
	Revenue	3.02 B
	Gross Profit	332.9 M
	EBITDA	223.6 M
	Net Income	46.8 M
	Cash And Equivalents	129.3 M
	Cash Per Share	8.15 X
	Total Debt	25.2 M
	Debt To Equity	1.69 %
	Current Ratio	2.41 X
	Book Value Per Share	41.90 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	167.1 M
	Short Ratio	5.25 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.87 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.24 X
	Target Price	79.67
	Number Of Employees	4 K
	Beta	1.33
	Market Capitalization	1.14 B
	Total Asset	2.31 B
	Retained Earnings	6.2 M
	Working Capital	575.8 M
	Current Asset	501.6 M
	Current Liabilities	169.3 M
	Annual Yield	0.04 %
	Five Year Return	2.77 %
	Net Asset	2.31 B
	Last Dividend Paid	3.08

About Kaiser Aluminum Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Kaiser Aluminum's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Kaiser Aluminum using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kaiser Aluminum based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Kaiser Stock Analysis

When running Kaiser Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Kaiser Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kaiser Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Kaiser Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kaiser Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kaiser Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kaiser Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Kaiser Aluminum Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Kaiser Aluminum Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Kaiser Aluminum Probability Of Bankruptcy

Kaiser Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Kaiser Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Kaiser Aluminum Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Kaiser Aluminum ESG Sustainability

Kaiser Fundamentals

About Kaiser Aluminum Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Kaiser Stock Analysis

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