Hillman Solutions Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| HLMN Stock | USD 9.96 0.04 0.40% |
Hillman | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Hillman Solutions Corp Company odds of distress Analysis
Hillman Solutions' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Hillman Solutions Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 53% |
Most of Hillman Solutions' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Hillman Solutions Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Hillman Solutions probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Hillman Solutions odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Hillman Solutions Corp financial health.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hillman Solutions. If investors know Hillman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hillman Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.459 | Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share 7.517 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0239 |
The market value of Hillman Solutions Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hillman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hillman Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hillman Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hillman Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hillman Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hillman Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hillman Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hillman Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Hillman Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Hillman Solutions is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Hillman Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Hillman Solutions' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Hillman Solutions' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Hillman Solutions' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Hillman Solutions Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 53%. This is 24.47% higher than that of the Machinery sector and 81.51% higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 33.07% lower than that of the firm.
Hillman Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Hillman Solutions' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Hillman Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hillman Solutions by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Hillman Solutions is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Hillman Solutions Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.0351) | (0.009924) | (0.004114) | (0.006652) | (0.005987) | (0.006287) | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.5 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.6 | 0.54 | 0.43 | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 208.9M | 311.9M | 277.3M | 215.4M | 223.1M | 225.5M | |
| Total Current Assets | 440.7M | 553.7M | 668.3M | 631.6M | 548.0M | 521.9M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 52.4M | 92.1M | (110.3M) | 119.0M | 238.0M | 249.9M |
Hillman Solutions ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Hillman Solutions' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Hillman Solutions' managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Hillman Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0072 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0239 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.74 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 196.59 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.00 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.00 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.74 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 84.56 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.66 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.34 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.48 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 639.78 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 198.18 M | ||||
| Net Income | (9.59 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 17.72 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.09 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 836.06 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.87 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.01 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 238.03 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.13 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.04 X | ||||
| Target Price | 13.66 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 3.8 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.65 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.97 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.33 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (236.21 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 324.86 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 2.33 B |
About Hillman Solutions Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hillman Solutions Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hillman Solutions using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hillman Solutions Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Hillman Solutions
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hillman Solutions position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hillman Solutions will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Hillman Stock
Moving against Hillman Stock
| 0.51 | QEPC | QEP Co Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | SWK | Stanley Black Decker | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | EML | Eastern | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hillman Solutions could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hillman Solutions when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hillman Solutions - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hillman Solutions Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Hillman Solutions is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hillman Solutions moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hillman Solutions Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hillman Solutions can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Hillman Solutions Piotroski F Score and Hillman Solutions Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hillman Solutions. If investors know Hillman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hillman Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.459 | Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share 7.517 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0239 |
The market value of Hillman Solutions Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hillman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hillman Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hillman Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hillman Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hillman Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hillman Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hillman Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hillman Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.