Hilton Metal Forging Stock Beneish M Score

HILTON Stock   83.85  1.29  1.52%   
This module uses fundamental data of Hilton Metal to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Hilton Metal M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Hilton Metal Forging. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
  
As of November 29, 2024, Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to decline to about 403.5 M. In addition to that, Net Debt is expected to decline to about 382.3 M.
At this time, Hilton Metal's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Hilton Metal's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Hilton Metal executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Hilton Metal's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.35
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.12

Focus
Asset Quality

1.78

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.68

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.73

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.01

Focus

Hilton Metal Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Hilton Metal's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables221.3 M271.5 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total RevenueB1.4 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Assets1.4 B1.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets902.9 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total466.6 M529.9 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment401.6 M485.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization27.1 M22 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative22.8 M31.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities507.5 M692.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total136.5 M158.3 M
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Net Debt382.3 M500.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt328.1 M400.4 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt96.5 M140.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments2.4 M2.7 M
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Long Term Investments40.3 K45 K
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile

Hilton Metal Forging Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Hilton Metal's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Hilton Metal in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Hilton Metal's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Hilton Metal Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

27.13 Million

At present, Hilton Metal's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Hilton Metal Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Hilton Metal. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables335.1M94.2M13.9M301.9M271.5M221.3M
Total Revenue1.0B472.2M837.7M1.0B1.4B1.0B
Total Assets1.5B1.1B1.1B1.7B1.8B1.4B
Total Current Assets1.1B751.9M682.2M1.2B1.3B902.9M
Net Debt443.9M572.6M599.7M499.9M500.1M382.3M
Short Term Debt312.8M422.6M417.1M377.1M400.4M328.1M
Long Term Debt99.3M150.6M185.6M151.7M140.3M96.5M
Operating Income50.3M(196.3M)29.7M122.2M239.4M251.3M
Investments886K(22.6M)(85.4M)326.9M(16.5M)(15.7M)

About Hilton Metal Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hilton Metal Forging's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hilton Metal using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilton Metal Forging based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Hilton Stock

Hilton Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hilton Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hilton with respect to the benefits of owning Hilton Metal security.