Hilton Grand Vacations Stock Z Score

HGV Stock

USD 42.39 0.65 1.56%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Hilton Grand Piotroski F Score and Hilton Grand Valuation analysis.

At this time, Hilton Grand's Capital Surpluse is fairly stable compared to the past year. Capital Lease Obligations is likely to climb to about 88.4 M in 2024, whereas Net Working Capital is likely to drop slightly above 2.7 B in 2024. At this time, Hilton Grand's Depreciation And Amortization is fairly stable compared to the past year. Interest Expense is likely to climb to about 186.9 M in 2024, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 714.8 M in 2024.

Hilton Grand Vacations Company Z Score Analysis

Hilton Grand's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Hilton Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Hilton Grand is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Hilton Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Hilton Grand's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Hilton Grand's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Hilton Grand's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Long Term Debt Total	Retained Earnings	Capital Surpluse	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Long Term Investments	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.92	-0.37	0.3	0.97	0.73	0.82	0.11	-0.28	0.99	0.9	-0.67	0.99	0.14	0.92	0.57	0.85	0.98	0.8	0.9	0.67	0.99	0.94	0.96	-0.36
Total Stockholder Equity	0.92		-0.21	0.34	0.84	0.86	0.88	0.3	-0.31	0.88	0.94	-0.84	0.91	0.15	0.93	0.72	0.85	0.88	0.87	0.94	0.68	0.92	0.89	0.89	-0.6
Net Tangible Assets	-0.37	-0.21		0.14	-0.55	-0.31	-0.52	-0.02	-0.33	-0.47	-0.41	-0.28	-0.32	0.41	-0.56	0.43	0.09	-0.45	0.14	-0.51	-0.06	-0.47	-0.44	-0.45	0.24
Current Deferred Revenue	0.3	0.34	0.14		0.27	0.06	0.3	-0.26	-0.71	0.29	0.37	-0.46	0.31	0.61	0.27	0.47	0.5	0.25	0.23	0.24	0.75	0.29	0.26	0.34	-0.11
Net Debt	0.97	0.84	-0.55	0.27		0.69	0.84	0.09	-0.23	0.99	0.88	-0.51	0.95	0.09	0.93	0.39	0.77	0.98	0.67	0.89	0.6	0.99	0.93	0.95	-0.34
Accounts Payable	0.73	0.86	-0.31	0.06	0.69		0.9	0.68	-0.09	0.72	0.87	-0.68	0.78	-0.22	0.81	0.46	0.59	0.71	0.73	0.9	0.44	0.77	0.78	0.81	-0.86
Long Term Debt	0.82	0.88	-0.52	0.3	0.84	0.9		0.48	-0.23	0.84	0.92	-0.61	0.83	0.0	0.93	0.41	0.65	0.84	0.64	0.96	0.55	0.88	0.81	0.91	-0.76
Net Receivables	0.11	0.3	-0.02	-0.26	0.09	0.68	0.48		0.11	0.11	0.27	-0.34	0.2	-0.28	0.21	0.13	0.13	0.15	0.32	0.37	-0.18	0.17	0.18	0.27	-0.81
Short Term Investments	-0.28	-0.31	-0.33	-0.71	-0.23	-0.09	-0.23	0.11		-0.24	-0.29	0.46	-0.28	-0.65	-0.16	-0.39	-0.59	-0.26	-0.49	-0.15	-0.56	-0.24	-0.13	-0.27	0.03
Total Liab	0.99	0.88	-0.47	0.29	0.99	0.72	0.84	0.11	-0.24		0.9	-0.59	0.98	0.09	0.93	0.48	0.8	0.99	0.73	0.91	0.65	0.99	0.95	0.97	-0.37
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.9	0.94	-0.41	0.37	0.88	0.87	0.92	0.27	-0.29	0.9		-0.71	0.9	-0.04	0.95	0.54	0.74	0.87	0.74	0.97	0.72	0.93	0.92	0.93	-0.65
Short Long Term Debt	-0.67	-0.84	-0.28	-0.46	-0.51	-0.68	-0.61	-0.34	0.46	-0.59	-0.71		-0.71	-0.31	-0.6	-0.94	-0.81	-0.59	-0.85	-0.65	-0.66	-0.63	-0.63	-0.65	0.53
Total Current Assets	0.99	0.91	-0.32	0.31	0.95	0.78	0.83	0.2	-0.28	0.98	0.9	-0.71		0.1	0.89	0.6	0.84	0.96	0.81	0.9	0.69	0.98	0.94	0.97	-0.42
Short Term Debt	0.14	0.15	0.41	0.61	0.09	-0.22	0.0	-0.28	-0.65	0.09	-0.04	-0.31	0.1		0.02	0.43	0.51	0.17	0.29	-0.06	0.24	0.07	-0.06	0.02	0.29
Intangible Assets	0.92	0.93	-0.56	0.27	0.93	0.81	0.93	0.21	-0.16	0.93	0.95	-0.6	0.89	0.02		0.46	0.7	0.92	0.68	0.98	0.62	0.96	0.91	0.92	-0.56
Common Stock	0.57	0.72	0.43	0.47	0.39	0.46	0.41	0.13	-0.39	0.48	0.54	-0.94	0.6	0.43	0.46		0.77	0.49	0.74	0.47	0.61	0.5	0.49	0.49	-0.28
Property Plant Equipment	0.85	0.85	0.09	0.5	0.77	0.59	0.65	0.13	-0.59	0.8	0.74	-0.81	0.84	0.51	0.7	0.77		0.82	0.89	0.69	0.62	0.8	0.75	0.77	-0.29
Long Term Debt Total	0.98	0.88	-0.45	0.25	0.98	0.71	0.84	0.15	-0.26	0.99	0.87	-0.59	0.96	0.17	0.92	0.49	0.82		0.75	0.89	0.57	0.98	0.9	0.95	-0.35
Retained Earnings	0.8	0.87	0.14	0.23	0.67	0.73	0.64	0.32	-0.49	0.73	0.74	-0.85	0.81	0.29	0.68	0.74	0.89	0.75		0.71	0.56	0.75	0.72	0.72	-0.42
Capital Surpluse	0.9	0.94	-0.51	0.24	0.89	0.9	0.96	0.37	-0.15	0.91	0.97	-0.65	0.9	-0.06	0.98	0.47	0.69	0.89	0.71		0.59	0.94	0.92	0.93	-0.69
Cash And Equivalents	0.67	0.68	-0.06	0.75	0.6	0.44	0.55	-0.18	-0.56	0.65	0.72	-0.66	0.69	0.24	0.62	0.61	0.62	0.57	0.56	0.59		0.65	0.63	0.69	-0.25
Net Invested Capital	0.99	0.92	-0.47	0.29	0.99	0.77	0.88	0.17	-0.24	0.99	0.93	-0.63	0.98	0.07	0.96	0.5	0.8	0.98	0.75	0.94	0.65		0.95	0.97	-0.44
Long Term Investments	0.94	0.89	-0.44	0.26	0.93	0.78	0.81	0.18	-0.13	0.95	0.92	-0.63	0.94	-0.06	0.91	0.49	0.75	0.9	0.72	0.92	0.63	0.95		0.93	-0.49
Net Working Capital	0.96	0.89	-0.45	0.34	0.95	0.81	0.91	0.27	-0.27	0.97	0.93	-0.65	0.97	0.02	0.92	0.49	0.77	0.95	0.72	0.93	0.69	0.97	0.93		-0.53
Capital Stock	-0.36	-0.6	0.24	-0.11	-0.34	-0.86	-0.76	-0.81	0.03	-0.37	-0.65	0.53	-0.42	0.29	-0.56	-0.28	-0.29	-0.35	-0.42	-0.69	-0.25	-0.44	-0.49	-0.53

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Hilton Grand

According to the company's disclosures, Hilton Grand Vacations has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Hilton Grand ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Hilton Grand's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Hilton Grand's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Hilton Grand Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Hilton Grand that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Hilton Grand's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Hilton Grand's value.

		Shares
Millennium Management Llc	2024-06-30	2.3 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc	2024-09-30	1.6 M
683 Capital Management Llc	2024-09-30	1.2 M
Close Asset Management Limited	2024-06-30	1.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2024-06-30	950 K
Mudita Advisors Llp	2024-09-30	916.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc	2024-09-30	862 K
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	808.8 K
Norges Bank	2024-06-30	791.3 K
Apollo Management Holdings Lp	2024-09-30	30.3 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	8.4 M

Hilton Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0493
	Return On Asset	0.0476
	Profit Margin	0.02 %
	Operating Margin	0.17 %
	Current Valuation	10.52 B
	Shares Outstanding	98.49 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.37 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	98.63 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	6.53 M
	Price To Earning	13.86 X
	Price To Book	2.23 X
	Price To Sales	0.97 X
	Revenue	3.98 B
	Gross Profit	1.15 B
	EBITDA	840 M
	Net Income	313 M
	Cash And Equivalents	223 M
	Cash Per Share	3.18 X
	Total Debt	4.59 B
	Debt To Equity	1.87 %
	Current Ratio	4.29 X
	Book Value Per Share	18.48 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	312 M
	Short Ratio	8.10 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.88 X
	Target Price	45.44
	Number Of Employees	15 K
	Beta	1.83
	Market Capitalization	4.11 B
	Total Asset	8.69 B
	Retained Earnings	593 M
	Working Capital	3.72 B
	Current Asset	1.53 B
	Current Liabilities	286.77 M
	Net Asset	8.69 B

About Hilton Grand Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hilton Grand Vacations's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hilton Grand using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilton Grand Vacations based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When running Hilton Grand's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Grand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Grand is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Grand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Grand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Grand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Grand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Hilton Grand Vacations Stock Z Score

Hilton Grand Vacations Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Hilton Z Score Driver Correlations

Hilton Grand ESG Sustainability

Hilton Grand Institutional Holders

Hilton Fundamentals

About Hilton Grand Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Hilton Stock Analysis

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