Ferroglobe Plc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GSM Stock  USD 4.37  0.02  0.46%   
Ferroglobe PLC's risk of distress is less than 5% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. Ferroglobe PLC's Odds of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Ferroglobe Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Ferroglobe balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Ferroglobe PLC Piotroski F Score and Ferroglobe PLC Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Ferroglobe Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ferroglobe PLC guide.
  
As of the 28th of November 2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 1.3 B. Also, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 1.7 B

Ferroglobe PLC Company odds of distress Analysis

Ferroglobe PLC's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Ferroglobe PLC Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 5%  
Most of Ferroglobe PLC's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Ferroglobe PLC is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Ferroglobe PLC probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Ferroglobe PLC odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Ferroglobe PLC financial health.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ferroglobe PLC. If investors know Ferroglobe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ferroglobe PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
Earnings Share
0.21
Revenue Per Share
8.785
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.04
Return On Assets
0.047
The market value of Ferroglobe PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ferroglobe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ferroglobe PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ferroglobe PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ferroglobe PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ferroglobe PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ferroglobe PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ferroglobe PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ferroglobe PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ferroglobe Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Ferroglobe PLC is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ferroglobe Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Ferroglobe PLC's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Ferroglobe PLC's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Ferroglobe PLC's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.690.380.040.260.02-0.020.850.180.30.590.410.050.220.20.220.430.43-0.04-0.32-0.270.40.1-0.19
0.690.740.040.660.360.460.710.330.780.720.440.290.740.410.510.40.70.37-0.5-0.10.180.220.06
0.380.740.060.620.580.510.430.260.630.70.350.540.640.530.570.310.780.69-0.470.150.010.340.2
0.040.040.060.09-0.210.11-0.320.04-0.03-0.260.13-0.060.32-0.120.330.01-0.36-0.41-0.280.23-0.180.550.38
0.260.660.620.090.830.720.280.10.920.470.52-0.070.810.280.74-0.080.670.55-0.430.54-0.330.450.32
0.020.360.58-0.210.830.590.160.020.740.420.39-0.010.510.260.45-0.150.740.78-0.250.53-0.360.290.08
-0.020.460.510.110.720.590.0-0.20.810.46-0.180.190.860.580.770.130.420.57-0.060.38-0.540.440.42
0.850.710.43-0.320.280.160.00.190.390.790.390.10.140.380.120.480.680.23-0.23-0.420.33-0.2-0.26
0.180.330.260.040.10.02-0.20.190.12-0.070.590.230.12-0.1-0.080.00.20.08-0.22-0.20.31-0.27-0.27
0.30.780.63-0.030.920.740.810.390.120.60.320.110.880.460.660.130.720.62-0.290.3-0.310.280.17
0.590.720.7-0.260.470.420.460.79-0.070.60.10.250.420.650.460.580.840.55-0.21-0.14-0.050.070.1
0.410.440.350.130.520.39-0.180.390.590.320.1-0.210.17-0.250.15-0.220.440.07-0.60.230.20.12-0.04
0.050.290.54-0.06-0.07-0.010.190.10.230.110.25-0.210.220.650.040.350.240.520.18-0.380.25-0.22-0.15
0.220.740.640.320.810.510.860.140.120.880.420.170.220.420.790.140.430.42-0.370.33-0.280.510.38
0.20.410.53-0.120.280.260.580.38-0.10.460.65-0.250.650.420.410.360.470.610.19-0.32-0.17-0.120.07
0.220.510.570.330.740.450.770.12-0.080.660.460.150.040.790.410.030.370.3-0.320.52-0.330.630.75
0.430.40.310.01-0.08-0.150.130.480.00.130.58-0.220.350.140.360.030.350.230.3-0.440.28-0.26-0.23
0.430.70.78-0.360.670.740.420.680.20.720.840.440.240.430.470.370.350.78-0.270.08-0.06-0.01-0.05
-0.040.370.69-0.410.550.780.570.230.080.620.550.070.520.420.610.30.230.780.110.13-0.14-0.12-0.09
-0.32-0.5-0.47-0.28-0.43-0.25-0.06-0.23-0.22-0.29-0.21-0.60.18-0.370.19-0.320.3-0.270.11-0.270.01-0.66-0.35
-0.27-0.10.150.230.540.530.38-0.42-0.20.3-0.140.23-0.380.33-0.320.52-0.440.080.13-0.27-0.520.640.59
0.40.180.01-0.18-0.33-0.36-0.540.330.31-0.31-0.050.20.25-0.28-0.17-0.330.28-0.06-0.140.01-0.52-0.32-0.41
0.10.220.340.550.450.290.44-0.2-0.270.280.070.12-0.220.51-0.120.63-0.26-0.01-0.12-0.660.64-0.320.65
-0.190.060.20.380.320.080.42-0.26-0.270.170.1-0.04-0.150.380.070.75-0.23-0.05-0.09-0.350.59-0.410.65
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Ferroglobe PLC has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 88.72% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and significantly higher than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

Ferroglobe Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Ferroglobe PLC's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Ferroglobe PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ferroglobe PLC by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Ferroglobe PLC is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Ferroglobe PLC Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.21)(0.14)(0.0658)0.220.0470.0493
Asset Turnover0.930.821.171.310.940.74
Gross Profit Margin0.180.220.280.480.470.26
Net Debt440.6M401.8M443.2M125.2M169.5M253.0M
Total Current Liabilities431.9M394.9M610.1M678.8M494.0M505.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total690.9M575.9M579.9M533M394.9M595.1M
Total Assets1.7B1.4B1.5B2.0B1.8B1.5B
Total Current Assets821.4M633.9M804.3M1.3B1.0B901.2M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(65.5M)154.3M(1.3M)405.0M178.4M149.9M

Ferroglobe PLC ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ferroglobe PLC's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ferroglobe PLC's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Ferroglobe Fundamentals

About Ferroglobe PLC Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ferroglobe PLC's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ferroglobe PLC using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ferroglobe PLC based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Ferroglobe PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ferroglobe PLC's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ferroglobe PLC's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ferroglobe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ferroglobe PLC Piotroski F Score and Ferroglobe PLC Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Ferroglobe Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ferroglobe PLC guide.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ferroglobe PLC. If investors know Ferroglobe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ferroglobe PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
Earnings Share
0.21
Revenue Per Share
8.785
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.04
Return On Assets
0.047
The market value of Ferroglobe PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ferroglobe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ferroglobe PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ferroglobe PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ferroglobe PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ferroglobe PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ferroglobe PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ferroglobe PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ferroglobe PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.