Goldman Sachs Group Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Name: Goldman Sachs Next Fiscal Year End
Start: 2025-01-21
End: 2025-01-21
Location: Goldman Sachs Group

GS Stock

USD 605.43 0.07 0.01%

Goldman Sachs' threat of distress is less than 5% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. Goldman Sachs' Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Goldman Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Goldman balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Goldman Sachs Piotroski F Score and Goldman Sachs Altman Z Score analysis.

Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 183.1 B in 2024, whereas Market Cap is likely to drop slightly above 55.7 B in 2024.

Goldman Sachs Group Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Goldman Sachs' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Goldman Sachs Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of Goldman Sachs' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Goldman Sachs Group is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Goldman Sachs probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Goldman Sachs odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Goldman Sachs Group financial health.

Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Goldman Sachs. If investors know Goldman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Goldman Sachs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.536

Dividend Share

11.25

Earnings Share

34.15

Revenue Per Share

149.014

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.042

The market value of Goldman Sachs Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Goldman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Goldman Sachs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Goldman Sachs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Goldman Sachs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Goldman Sachs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Goldman Sachs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Goldman Sachs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goldman Sachs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Goldman Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Goldman Sachs is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Goldman Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Goldman Sachs' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Goldman Sachs' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Goldman Sachs' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Intangible Assets	Good Will	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Invested Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.92	-0.41	0.83	0.85	0.25	-0.25	1.0	0.54	0.53	-0.64	0.69	-0.81	-0.42	0.91	0.73	0.84	0.54	0.87	0.33	0.48	0.83	-0.2	0.0	-0.1
Total Stockholder Equity	0.92		-0.29	0.82	0.89	0.35	-0.05	0.91	0.63	0.41	-0.81	0.76	-0.9	-0.67	0.85	0.74	0.67	0.48	0.81	0.16	0.44	0.61	-0.03	-0.09	0.01
Net Debt	-0.41	-0.29		-0.39	-0.25	-0.02	0.18	-0.42	-0.35	0.05	-0.18	-0.16	0.33	-0.38	-0.57	-0.35	-0.64	-0.34	-0.38	-0.19	-0.34	-0.68	0.05	0.43	0.24
Retained Earnings	0.83	0.82	-0.39		0.76	0.3	-0.15	0.83	0.55	0.34	-0.67	0.71	-0.94	-0.53	0.82	0.76	0.75	0.63	0.91	0.16	0.55	0.71	-0.52	0.08	-0.51
Accounts Payable	0.85	0.89	-0.25	0.76		0.21	-0.17	0.84	0.47	0.62	-0.83	0.52	-0.75	-0.59	0.79	0.44	0.56	0.19	0.64	0.31	0.29	0.58	-0.14	-0.19	-0.2
Net Receivables	0.25	0.35	-0.02	0.3	0.21		0.09	0.24	0.88	-0.22	-0.32	0.25	-0.38	-0.38	0.18	0.34	0.16	0.12	0.27	0.24	0.2	0.12	0.03	0.01	0.04
Short Term Investments	-0.25	-0.05	0.18	-0.15	-0.17	0.09		-0.27	0.05	-0.18	-0.07	-0.15	0.0	-0.25	-0.21	-0.15	-0.34	-0.29	-0.13	0.05	0.3	-0.4	0.25	-0.06	0.23
Total Liab	1.0	0.91	-0.42	0.83	0.84	0.24	-0.27		0.53	0.54	-0.62	0.68	-0.8	-0.39	0.91	0.73	0.85	0.55	0.87	0.34	0.49	0.84	-0.21	0.0	-0.11
Total Current Assets	0.54	0.63	-0.35	0.55	0.47	0.88	0.05	0.53		-0.15	-0.44	0.51	-0.66	-0.43	0.46	0.59	0.4	0.35	0.47	0.2	0.31	0.39	0.1	-0.28	-0.03
Short Term Debt	0.53	0.41	0.05	0.34	0.62	-0.22	-0.18	0.54	-0.15		-0.51	0.11	-0.2	-0.12	0.56	-0.02	0.33	-0.11	0.37	0.47	0.2	0.36	-0.31	0.21	-0.16
Common Stock	-0.64	-0.81	-0.18	-0.67	-0.83	-0.32	-0.07	-0.62	-0.44	-0.51		-0.64	0.75	0.86	-0.57	-0.46	-0.21	-0.22	-0.52	-0.01	-0.2	-0.17	0.1	-0.01	0.1
Long Term Debt	0.69	0.76	-0.16	0.71	0.52	0.25	-0.15	0.68	0.51	0.11	-0.64		-0.84	-0.59	0.61	0.93	0.43	0.86	0.66	-0.39	0.15	0.36	0.0	0.0	0.0
Treasury Stock	-0.81	-0.9	0.33	-0.94	-0.75	-0.38	0.0	-0.8	-0.66	-0.2	0.75	-0.84		0.68	-0.77	-0.85	-0.62	-0.67	-0.84	0.02	-0.49	-0.56	0.24	0.07	0.27
Intangible Assets	-0.42	-0.67	-0.38	-0.53	-0.59	-0.38	-0.25	-0.39	-0.43	-0.12	0.86	-0.59	0.68		-0.24	-0.44	-0.02	-0.22	-0.38	0.15	-0.13	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03
Good Will	0.91	0.85	-0.57	0.82	0.79	0.18	-0.21	0.91	0.46	0.56	-0.57	0.61	-0.77	-0.24		0.66	0.84	0.51	0.86	0.28	0.54	0.78	-0.26	0.03	-0.17
Property Plant Equipment	0.73	0.74	-0.35	0.76	0.44	0.34	-0.15	0.73	0.59	-0.02	-0.46	0.93	-0.85	-0.44	0.66		0.63	0.92	0.78	-0.23	0.38	0.55	-0.09	0.03	-0.04
Net Tangible Assets	0.84	0.67	-0.64	0.75	0.56	0.16	-0.34	0.85	0.4	0.33	-0.21	0.43	-0.62	-0.02	0.84	0.63		0.55	0.89	0.44	0.61	0.97	-0.41	0.15	-0.24
Long Term Debt Total	0.54	0.48	-0.34	0.63	0.19	0.12	-0.29	0.55	0.35	-0.11	-0.22	0.86	-0.67	-0.22	0.51	0.92	0.55		0.66	-0.4	0.19	0.47	-0.21	0.16	-0.14
Capital Surpluse	0.87	0.81	-0.38	0.91	0.64	0.27	-0.13	0.87	0.47	0.37	-0.52	0.66	-0.84	-0.38	0.86	0.78	0.89	0.66		0.28	0.68	0.79	-0.49	0.31	-0.27
Long Term Investments	0.33	0.16	-0.19	0.16	0.31	0.24	0.05	0.34	0.2	0.47	-0.01	-0.39	0.02	0.15	0.28	-0.23	0.44	-0.4	0.28		0.51	0.51	-0.29	0.1	-0.15
Short Long Term Debt	0.48	0.44	-0.34	0.55	0.29	0.2	0.3	0.49	0.31	0.2	-0.2	0.15	-0.49	-0.13	0.54	0.38	0.61	0.19	0.68	0.51		0.55	-0.37	0.16	-0.2
Cash And Equivalents	0.83	0.61	-0.68	0.71	0.58	0.12	-0.4	0.84	0.39	0.36	-0.17	0.36	-0.56	0.04	0.78	0.55	0.97	0.47	0.79	0.51	0.55		-0.38	-0.01	-0.3
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.2	-0.03	0.05	-0.52	-0.14	0.03	0.25	-0.21	0.1	-0.31	0.1	0.0	0.24	-0.02	-0.26	-0.09	-0.41	-0.21	-0.49	-0.29	-0.37	-0.38		-0.58	0.84
Net Invested Capital	0.0	-0.09	0.43	0.08	-0.19	0.01	-0.06	0.0	-0.28	0.21	-0.01	0.0	0.07	-0.02	0.03	0.03	0.15	0.16	0.31	0.1	0.16	-0.01	-0.58		-0.07
Capital Stock	-0.1	0.01	0.24	-0.51	-0.2	0.04	0.23	-0.11	-0.03	-0.16	0.1	0.0	0.27	-0.03	-0.17	-0.04	-0.24	-0.14	-0.27	-0.15	-0.2	-0.3	0.84	-0.07

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Goldman Sachs

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Goldman Sachs Group has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.99% lower than that of the Capital Markets sector and 88.6% lower than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

Goldman Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Goldman Sachs' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Goldman Sachs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goldman Sachs by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Goldman Sachs is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Goldman Sachs Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.008526	0.008133	0.0148	0.007809	0.005188	0.009479
Asset Turnover	0.0335	0.0348	0.0406	0.0328	0.0282	0.0417
Gross Profit Margin	0.6	0.65	0.68	0.66	0.64	0.46
Net Debt	122B	110B	40B	(158.9B)	91.7B	107.1B
Total Current Liabilities	223B	244B	299B	329.8B	855.5B	898.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total	207B	213B	254B	1.3T	1.5T	1.6T
Total Assets	993B	1.2T	1.5T	1.4T	1.6T	940.1B
Total Current Assets	208B	277.5B	422.0B	402.0B	241.6B	182.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	23.9B	(13.7B)	921M	8.7B	(12.6B)	(12.0B)

Goldman Sachs ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Goldman Sachs' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Goldman Sachs' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Goldman Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.1
	Return On Asset	0.0074
	Profit Margin	0.25 %
	Operating Margin	0.33 %
	Current Valuation	(81.27 B)
	Shares Outstanding	313.91 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.50 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	74.10 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	4.79 M
	Price To Earning	10.21 X
	Price To Book	1.76 X
	Price To Sales	3.85 X
	Revenue	46.25 B
	Gross Profit	37.53 B
	EBITDA	15.6 B
	Net Income	8.52 B
	Cash And Equivalents	242 B
	Total Debt	333.25 B
	Debt To Equity	4.86 %
	Current Ratio	1.70 X
	Book Value Per Share	327.61 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(12.59 B)
	Short Ratio	2.02 X
	Earnings Per Share	34.15 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	4.09 X
	Target Price	582.68
	Number Of Employees	46.4 K
	Beta	1.34
	Market Capitalization	190.05 B
	Total Asset	1.64 T
	Retained Earnings	143.69 B
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	1.82 %
	Net Asset	1.64 T
	Last Dividend Paid	11.25

About Goldman Sachs Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Goldman Sachs Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Goldman Sachs using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Goldman Sachs Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Goldman Stock Analysis

When running Goldman Sachs' price analysis, check to measure Goldman Sachs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goldman Sachs is operating at the current time. Most of Goldman Sachs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goldman Sachs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goldman Sachs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goldman Sachs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Goldman Sachs Group Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Goldman Sachs Group Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Goldman Sachs Probability Of Bankruptcy

Goldman Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Goldman Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Goldman Sachs Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Goldman Sachs ESG Sustainability

Goldman Fundamentals

About Goldman Sachs Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Goldman Stock Analysis

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